Thursday, February 26, 2009

February Poll Dance

I probably should have updated this earlier in the month - these numbers may be a bit stale by now. But, regardless, here's what Canadians have been telling pollsters this February:

Nanos (Jan 30 to Feb 3, n=1000)
CPC 34%
Lib 33%
NDP 16%
BQ 10%
GP 7%

Strategic Counsel (Feb 5 to 8, n=1000)
CPC 32%
Lib 33%
NDP 17%
BQ 5%
GP 13%

Ipsos (Feb 3 to 5, n=1000)
CPC 37%
Lib 31%
NDP 14%
BQ 10%
GP 7%

Decima (Feb 5 to 8, n=1000)
CPC 33%
Lib 31%
NDP 15%
BQ 10%
GP 10%

MEAN (change since January in brackets)
CPC 34% (-2.75%)
Lib 32% (+1.5%)
NDP 15.5% (-1.75%)
BQ 8.75% (nc)
GP 9.25% (+2.75%)



  • Yeah, looks like minority governments for infinity!!! Which is a form of stimulus for polling firms all in itself, maybe they are just perpetuating this whole mess. So do you think that Iggy would stay at the helm if he lost an election say with little to no liberal gains in said election or try to pull a Harper (gain seats in first election, gain seats and form government in second and gain more seats in the third with the ultimate goal of a majority)?

    By Anonymous Rob, at 3:59 PM  

  • Interesting how close the different polls are to each other. Good research!

    By Anonymous Calgary Rants, at 6:57 PM  

  • Dan nothing to say about the National Geographic expose and the Liberal/Conservative response?

    C'mon we rely on you for Alberta perspectives from the Albertan native point of view and this is probably the biggest international coverage (National Geographic has a readership of 50 Million) on Alberta in over a decade.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 9:02 PM  

  • So how come there have been no polls since February 8 ???

    By Blogger jad, at 9:47 AM  

  • Ok! Goes to show that it's close as long as the Liberals don't make a mistake. Of course, harper can be trusted to make mistakes.

    By Blogger JimTan, at 11:07 AM  

  • We are a long way from peragotry .... or however that goes. To the writer of this blog, good job.... your posts are varied and make for an intereting read no matter which party a person swings for.

    By Blogger Re-Pete, at 11:38 AM  

  • polls schmolls.

    What is particularly annoying to me are the same kinds of threats to bring down the government from Mr. Ignatief that we heard from Dion.

    What the _____ is with this party?

    Weren't liberal members promised a starting from scratch to build from the ground up? Was I the only schmuck to believe that crap?

    If Paul Martin, Michael Ignatief and the rest of them can't give more than shades of the same old...I'm staying home next election. This seriously sucks.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 2:52 PM  

  • How the worm turns!

    Afghan insurgency will never be defeated: Harper

    By Bradley Bouzane, Canwest News ServiceMarch 1, 2009 7:12 PM

    Coalition troops serving in Afghanistan will never rid the country of insurgents and won’t win the war simply by maintaining a presence in the area, Prime Minister Stephen Harper said in an interview aired Sunday.

    Harper, speaking to Fareed Zakaria on CNN’s GPS program, said success of the mission in Afghanistan will be measured by the ability to eventually hand over enforcement duties to a reliable Afghan force.

    “We’re not going to win this war just by staying . . . we are not ever going to defeat the insurgency,” Harper said in the interview, which was recorded last week during the prime minister’s visit to New York. “My reading of Afghanistan’s history is that they’ve probably had an insurgency forever, of some kind.

    “A part of the calculation here is ultimately the source of authority in Afghanistan has to be perceived as being indigenous. If it’s perceived as being foreign — and I still think we’re welcome there — it will always have a significant degree of opposition.”

    By Blogger JimTan, at 11:04 PM  

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