Ridings to Watch - Atlantic Canada
With small poll sample sizes in the Atlantic Provinces, it's hard to get a sense of what will happen on election night. Moreover, Atlantic provinces don't always follow the national trends.
So feel free to share any on the ground intel you have in the comments section.
The ABC campaign is no more, with Premier Kathy Dunderdale endorsing the Conservatives. Dunderdale's influence is certainly less than Williams', but the Tories could take back Avalon, where Senator Fabian Manning is running for them. Liberal Siobhan Coady could also be in tough against the NDP in St. John's South-Mount Pearl.
The Liberals would love to win back Egmont from Gail Shea, with the Tories targeting Wayne Easter in Malpeque. Charlottetown could also be in play, due to Shawn Murphy's retirement.
My projection model gives the NDP a good chance to grab Dartmouth-Cole Harbour and Halifax West from the Liberals. The orange wave could also claim Tory incumbent Gerald Keddy in South Shore-St. Margaret's.
Dominic Leblanc should be safe, but there's an outside chance Brian Murphy or Jean-Claude D'Amours could fall if the Liberal vote collapses. At the same time, Miramichi or Saint John could flip Liberal if things break their way.