Wisdom of the Crowds: Races to Watch
Will Elizabeth May win here seat?
One-in-five (21%) say she will. For what it's worth, I think national Green support will drop this campaign, but I do think May will take her seat. She's been working the riding for over a year, and most Liberal and NDP voters will rally behind her.
Will the Conservatives sweep Alberta?
Close to half (46%) say they will. I'm going to go out on a limb and say they only take 26 of 28. Linda Duncan holds in Edmonton Strathcona and Independent James Ford takes Edmonton-Sherwood Park.
Will Julian Fantino hold his seat?
Two-in-three (67%) think he will. A lot will depend on how the national campaign goes, but I'd bet on a hold if I had to.
Mulcair or Cauchon in Outremont?
Close to three-in-four (73%) pick Mulcair. Truth be told, I have a tough time predicting this one - it's likely the best local race in the entire country, with two leadership aspirants for their respective parties duking it out. Gun to my head, I'd say Mulcair, but I could certainly be wrong. It has traditionally been a Liberal seat, and Cauchon was a well liked MP.
(For the mean seat total guesses, click here)