Poll Soup: The House is Back
The kids are back in school and MPs are back in the House. It's safe to say Canadians still have larger things to worry about than politics, but it's worth checking in with the post-Labour Day polls to see if the earth moved while we were all on vacation.
Ipsos (released Sept 25, n = 1,002 phone)
Decima (Sept 9-19, n = 2,023 phone)
Ekos (Sept 8-14, n = 1,770 robo dial)
Environics (Sept 2-10, n = 1,918 phone)
AVERAGE (change since August in brackets)
CPC: 33.9% (+0.9%)
Lib: 29.7% (+1.2%)
NDP: 14.7% (-1.8%)
BQ: 9.7% (-0.1%)
Green: 10.2% (-0.2%)
The tracking numbers above are since August, but the more interesting comparison is likely to June. So what did Harper's terrible, terrible summer of Census, G20, and fighter jet fiascos cost him?
A whole 0.7 points.
The Liberals, meanwhile, did pick up 1.8 points. We can't say for sure that the Iggy Express is responsible but, still, if they actually gained 2 points and this isn't just random statistical noise then...well...good. That's nothing to sneeze at.
For the NDP, they've fallen back from their April peak...15% isn't a freakishly low polling average for them, but it's something to be concerned about if the trend continues.
Labels: poll soup