Poll Smoking

This post is really nothing more than an exercise in self-congratulation, but I'd just like to point out that my Liberal leadership predictions were way better than anything put out by the MSM or major polling companies. Political Mouse does the comparison and, while Greg Morrow comes out on top, every blogger who put out weekend predictions came closer than the polls or media. I mention this only because I got a bit of flack for saying the polls we saw on the Liberal leadership race were garbage and it just shows that, for internal party matters, your average Liblogger is more tuned in to what's really going on than your average journalist.

Anyways, as a refresher, here's how my national and Alberta predictions stacked up to the real numbers (pending the final few ridings):

National
Michael Ignatieff 29.9% (I said 26.7%)
Bob Rae 19.8% (17.9%)
Gerard Kennedy 16.8% (17.7%)
Stephane Dion 16.5% (14.6%)
Ken Dryden 4.6% (7.2%)
Joe Volpe 4.6% (7.8%)
Scott Brison 4.0% (6.3%)
Martha Hall Findlay 1.0% (1.9%)


Alberta
Gerard Kennedy 27.8% (I said 26%)
Michael Ignatieff 24.7% (24%)
Stephane Dion 17.9% (16%)
Joe Volpe 9.4% (8%)
Bob Rae 9.0% (12%)
Scott Brison 2.7% (7%)
Ken Dryden 2.7% (2%)
Martha Hall Findlay 2.2% (3%)
Undeclared 3.6% (2%)

(and Brison should move up a bit once the aboriginal ballot is counted)