Sunday, December 18, 2005

Week in Review 3


Weekly Winner: Ed Broadbent. He's not running, but seeing Jack Layton name drop Ed's name a half dozen tims in the debates, shows he's still a star. Plus, the NDP went and recruited another Ed is his 70s, Ed Shreyer.


Weekly Loser: Ambassador Williams. "I recognize it's good for politics when the US attacks you. I will not attack Paul Martin."


The Polls: The average of the most recent polling numbers, with projected seats in brackets:

Liberals 35.7% (122)
Conservatives 29.7% (99)
NDP 16.3% (27)
BQ 13.0% (59)


The Gamblers: This site has the Liberals with a 15.5 seat lead. The UBC Stock Market has the Liberals at 35.3%, the Tories at 31.4%, and the NDP at 16.0%.


Scott Feschuck Line of the Week:
4:31 PM - I want to thank the many loyal blog readers who have sent in witty and/or hostile remarks in relation to the unfortunate "beer and popcorn" commentary by my good friend Scott Reid, who is sitting next to me on the plane at this moment and who just now made me write the whole "good friend" part - which, between you and me, is completely bogus in the sense that now he is a total social leper and I have every intention of cutting the poor bugger loose. (To gauge from my inbox, public opinion is currently evenly divided on Scott's comment, with half of people describing him as an "idiot" and the other half defiantly insisting he is a "complete idiot".)


Joke of the Week: Sent in by a reader:

Conservative Stephen Harper promises to eliminate funding for the Canadian Military. In order to provide Canadians with greater choice, Harper proposes that every citizen be given $100 per month to spend on 'whatever sort of weaponry they choose.' "It's not a tax break," claims Harper "It's a Military Plan."

Blog of the Week: Derision 2006. I only found this blog this week, but I'm loving the light hearted look at the election it provides. "Scott Reid hires own Communications director" has got to be the best spoof of the election so far.


Quote of the Week: Gilles Duceppe, from the English debates:

"It's not worth revisiting issues that have already been decided by a free vote"


Liberal Week in Review: B

Martin took aim at his enemies this week - George Bush and Andre Boisclair. The spat with the US hasn't seemed to have a lot of traction; A lot of people like to see the PM standing up to the Americans, but it's not exactly clear how he's standing up to them, or on what issue. The separatism stuff was "the clip" from the debate and will certainly be a theme for the remainder of the campaign. Martin's performance in the debates was better than last year, but still not spectacular, and the Liberals were still feeling the fall-out from "beer and popcorn" at the begining of the week.


Conservative Week in Review: B-

The daily policy barrage has died down, but we still saw tax breaks for kids in sports and help for the military. Harper didn't get a ton of traction in the french debate, but did well in English. The polls still show the Liberals well ahead, but Harper is looking good and the new TV commercial on change looks like a winner. Still, the old speech wasn't good news and the lack movement on the Income Trust Story means Harper has likely lost his silver bullet.


NDP Week in Review: B+

It's been a tough campaign for Layton, but I think he picked it up a notch this week with a strong performance in both debates. The NDP also launched their child care plan, recruited Ed 2.0, and hit Martin hard on climate change.


BQ Week in Review: B+

Duceppe has been helped by a rather abysmal Quebec campaign from the Liberals. He wasn't nearly as good in the English debate this year as in 2004, but he still won the French debate which is, obviously, a lot more important for him.



The Week Ahead
Expect things to quiet down as we approach the holidays. By Thursday, I expect the campaigns to be all but shut down.

18 Comments:

  • Canadians want change, Martin admits
    Dec. 18, 2005. 04:56 PM
    ALEXANDER PANETTA
    CANADIAN PRESS


    REGINA — Prime Minister Paul Martin agrees Canada has an appetite for change — and says the best way to get it is to hand the Liberals a fifth straight mandate.


    OOOOOOkay then.

    The wheels have fallen off the Liberal campaign. Literally.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 7:59 PM  

  • Watch the video of Martin in Q&Q in Regina, available here...

    http://www.ctv.ca//servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20051216/qp_elxnroundup_051218/20051218?s_name=election2006&no_ads=

    11 minutes worth, link on RHS.

    And then tell me this guy is the best man to be Prime Minister???

    Yeeeesssshhhh!!!

    The CPC should air this in prime time for about a week following Jan. 1. Probably good for at least 1,000,000 votes for Harper.

    By Anonymous springer, at 8:33 PM  

  • I don't think the old speach really has any relevance. Aside from anti-Harper bloggers did anyone really care? It wasn't front page news, it didn't get more than one news cycles worth of play. Furthermore, all it contained were the same sorts of tired lines that the Liberals dragged out last time.

    By Blogger Chris, at 9:35 PM  

  • I would also encourage Martin to continue to be at the forfront of defending terrorists who are arrested by the RCMP.

    Newsflash to Martin - judges have to make those unpopular but legalistic decisions. Politicians shouldn't. Cuz.....they're.....well unpopular.

    About 50% of Canadians favor SSM (maybe less), I suspect the number of Canadians who feel strongly about defending the rights of terrorists is likely a bit less.

    It seems he's beyond appealing to his base, and moved onto appealing to the criminal element of his party (don't get me wrong, I appreaciate that still a pretty big number but it's a tad narrow.)

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 10:15 PM  

  • A small correction...

    It's Ambassador David Wilkins/Wilkins (not Williams). It was Paul MArtin who referred to him as Williams,in a display of how close he is to the U.S. envoy.

    By Anonymous Two Cents, at 11:26 PM  

  • 1. I am disgusted by Martin's suggestion that Harper isn't up to the job. And horrified to see the media repeat the line uncritically.

    Here's the thing: disagree on policy all you like. Show no mercy. Hence I support Martin's daycare plan and income tax cuts (though I can't stand the party brand).

    But to attack the intrinsic character and moral worth of a man for no more reason than that he disagrees with you is reprehensible.

    And the distinction between same-sex marriage and civil unions does not impugn Harper's character.

    By Martin's logic, Tony Blair in particular (who recently implemented Harper's civil union model) and virtually every other European leader in general also is "unfit to lead".

    Disgusting.

    2. The trust silver bullet: wait 'til post Jan. 3. It's in the back pocket.

    By Blogger matt, at 11:58 PM  

  • $0.02: Yeah, but I'm going to call him Williams from now on, because of Paul's verbal slip. I will also refer to Normandy as Norway, but I seriously I'll be talking a lot about Normandy here...

    By Blogger calgarygrit, at 12:09 AM  

  • I love feeding CP fake stories... suckers.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 1:11 AM  

  • Anonymous,

    I don't know if the percentage of Canadians who favour same-sex marriage rights is 50% or more.

    I suspect that more than half of Canadians are surely supportive of defending the rights of those accused of terrorism These people aren't guilty until proven guilty, and until that time they are simply citizens. Until convicted, they must and willreceive the same protections under the law as all Canada residents.

    By Blogger Psychols, at 3:44 AM  

  • I agree with Martin, the majority cannot trespass over the rights of minority. At one time, the majority of people had no problem with slavery. They opposed intermarriage between blacks and whites, or even Catholics and Protestants, and so on.

    Read many conservative comments (at the top Michael Coren) and you will see they always oppose the Charter. Michael Coren called it Trudeau's illegitimate love child in the Toronto Sun.

    By Blogger mezba, at 9:02 AM  

  • Are all the anonymous conservative posters watching a different campaign? The conservatives are 6% behind, there has been virtually no change in the polls, yet they repeatedly post that the Liberal campaign is collapsing?

    Anonymous, perhaps its might be time to cut back on the Kool-Aid.

    By Anonymous blah, at 9:54 AM  

  • New NDP ad - "when you explain to your kids that you are voting Liberal in this election, you are telling them that lying, stealing and cheating are ok. Think about that when they turn into criminals."

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 12:57 PM  

  • This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

    By Blogger matt, at 4:35 PM  

  • attempt 2: context for my above comment (put the fragments together):

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/
    20051219/ap_on_re_eu/
    britain_gay_marriage

    By Blogger matt, at 4:36 PM  

  • The week 3 picture might be a more accurate grading of the Liberal campaign.

    Saying your opponent has no business running for office is a helluva gamble. It makes Scott Reid look pretty tame.

    MPs shouldn't be trusted with their votes in Parliament.

    The Supreme Court must be protected from ruling on the result of a free vote.

    The Lord Protector of the Charter is
    rolling mighty big dice mighty early.

    If it works NDP votes in 905 might break his way, but if a backlash materializes before Jan. 23 he's in Kim territory.

    If anyone thinks there is no downside, consider who he might chase to Harper:

    1. In your opinion, should Parliament have a free vote on gay marriage or not? (LEGER)

    Bloc supporters: YES 66%
    Conservatives supporters: YES 61%
    Liberal supporters: YES 54%
    NDP supporters: YES 46%

    By Anonymous yyc, at 4:43 PM  

  • Are you folks watching the same Liberal campaign as we are?

    When he says Charter do your synapses freeze?

    Matt's right. Allowing the court to rule on the British option doesn't mean you have no business running for PM.

    If he is Lord Protector of the Charter, then Chretien and Adscam was the savious of Canadian federalism.

    Martin turning up the volume isn't going to stop Canadians from thinking.

    By Anonymous yyc, at 4:49 PM  

  • The Liberal Party is master of the wedge. They know that 60% of the country can hate you vociferously, but if the other 40% vote for you, you'll win. So from Martin's perspective, it's irrelevant how many people really hate the fact that he didn't have the moral courage to appeal the same sex marriage issue, or to introduce civil unions. While he seems to have been personally opposed to gay marriage (since he did, after all, vote against it), he also recognized that it was something that would overshadow even the fact that the Liberals had a kickback scheme that made them at least the beneficiaries of a criminal conspiracy, and at worst a criminal organization itself. That's why same sex marriage is an issue in this election.

    Unfortunately, Harper hasn't been as successful in presenting alternatives on this issue as he has on others. Civil unions wouldn't please his so-con base, but it would at least allow a Minister or priest or rabbi or mullah to preach their religious prohibitions against homosexuality without the risk of getting hauled before the left-driven human rights commissions of this country.

    By Blogger Patrick, at 9:02 AM  

  • I miss Ed Broadbent.

    By Anonymous Brandon Erik Bertelsen, at 12:31 AM  

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