Prediction By Committee
Out of curiosity, I added up the totals of all the entries for certain questions to see what the general concensus was. Here's how this blog's readers think some key races will break down:
Will the Liberals win a seat in Alberta?
71% Yes
Obviously, people have a lot of faith in Ted Haney...
Conservative support in Quebec?
62% feel they will be under 9% of the popular vote
Who will have the most vicious attack ad?
Liberals 78%, Conservatives 17%, one vote each for the NDP and BQ
The BQ is actually a pretty good prediction for this one...
Who will win Ottawa Centre?
55% say Liberals, 36% say NDP
Heddy versus Svend
73% think Svend will steal this one
Will the BQ reach 60 seats?
59% say Oui
Will Marc Garneau win?
56% say yes
Will Allan Cutler win?
46% say yes
Will Olivia Chow win?
60% say yes
Will Jean Lapierre hang on?
46% say yes
Hopefully no one will forget how they vote in this one...
Will Belinda appear in national Liberal TV ads?
55% say yes
Monte Solberg - Over/Under 75%
42% say over
Which party will win the most seats?
63% say Liberals
Most Accurate Polling Firm:
Ipsos-Reid 32%
SES 20%
Strategic Counsil 13%
Environics 10%
Decima 10%
Ekos 10% (Ekos?)
Pollara 2%
Leger 2%
Feel free to elaborate on any of the questions in the comments section bellow. There certainly didn't appear to be concensus...
5 Comments:
Ekos is a joke of a polling company.
By
Anonymous, at 9:12 p.m.
SES was the best last time. I'm picking them to be the best this time.
By
Michael Fox, at 12:35 p.m.
POLLARA is the only pollster in the world to have called a national election perfectly, back when they were media pollsters before they went to the dark side.
By
Anonymous, at 9:11 p.m.
Really worthwhile data, much thanks for your article.
By
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