Monday, May 02, 2011

Polls, Projections, Predictions

A round-up of what might, but probably won't, happen tonight:

POLLS

Leger: CPC 36%, NDP 31%, Lib 21%, BQ 7%, Green 4%

Angus Reid: CPC 37%, NDP 33%, Lib 19%, BQ 6%, Green 4%

Ipsos: CPC 38%, NDP 33%, Lib 18%, BQ 7%, Green 4%

Nanos: CPC 37%, NDP 32%, Lib 21%, BQ 6%, Green 4%

Ekos: CPC 35%, NDP 31%, Lib 20%, BQ 5%, Green 6%

Decima: CPC 36%, NDP 30%, Lib 19%, BQ 6%, Green 6%

Forum: CPC 35%, NDP 33%, Lib 19%

Abacus: CPC 37%, NDP 32%, Lib 18%, BQ 7%, Green 7%

Compass: CPC 46%, NDP 26%, Lib 17%, BQ 7%, Green 4%


PREDICTIONS & PROJECTIONS

308.com: CPC 143, NDP 78, Lib 60, BQ 27

Riding-by-Riding: CPC 142, NDP 114, Lib 39, BQ 12, Ind 1

Trendlines: CPC 148, NDP 92, Lib 50, BQ 17

Ekos: CPC 138, NDP 113, Lib 41, BQ 15, Green 1

LISPOP: CPC 144, NDP 98, Lib 51, BQ 15

Democratic Space: CPC 155, NDP 86, Lib 47, BQ 20

Calgary Grit (projection): CPC 151.0, NDP 90.9, Lib 46.9, BQ 18.5, Ind 0.6

Calgary Grit (prediction): CPC 146, NDP 83, Lib 55, BQ 22, Green 1, Ind 1

Election Prediction Project: CPC 146, Lib 63, NDP 65, BQ 33, Ind 1


A few of the readers from this blog have made their predictions in this thread - feel free to join them there, or post yours below. The average prediction from ya'll so far is: CPC 143, NDP 88, Lib 54, BQ 22, Ind 1, Green 0

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