Tuesday, January 31, 2012

An update on all the people not running for Liberal leadership - Part 2

Yesterday, I looked at the ten names being tossed around most frequently for Liberal leadership - Rae, Leblanc, Trudeau, McGuinty^2, Garneau, Brison, Coderre, Cauchon, and Kennedy.

Today, a look at some long-shot candidates.

Mark Carney: The Bank of Canada governor would have instant credibility on the economy and, unlike many bankers, he's not uncharismatic. There is, of course, still the question of whether or not he's a Liberal - but no one seems too concerned about that.

Naheed Nenshi: The superstar Mayor of Calgary set Twitter abuzz when he tried out his French at a Toronto speech last year. I'd love to see Naheed toss his cowboy hat into the ring, but we're still 5 or 10 years away from having this conversation. At the rate we're going, the Liberals will have cycled through another three leaders by the time Nenshi is ready to run.

Gregor Robertson: Like Nenshi, the assumption is that Vancouver's Mayor will one day run provincially or federally. Yes, he was an NDP MLA provincially, but that's never stopped anyone from running for Liberal leader before, nor should it.

Ralph Goodale: There's a movement afoot to convince Goodale to run. Admittedly, his age and his french would make him a long shot, but the race would benefit immensely by having a Western Canadian of his stature in it.

Amanda Lang: To the best of my knowledge, there is only one Liberal in the country floating her name as a possible leadership candidate, but it may not be as far fetched as it sounds. We've seen media personalities jump to politics before, and as a business reporter she could make the economy her issue. And hey, her dad was a Liberal MP! I have no idea how she'd fare in the political game, but the idea of a well-spoken, attractive 41 year old woman from Manitoba leading the party certainly sounds good on paper.

Mark Holland: Young and fiery, Holland can give one heck of a speech. Even if he doesn't run for leader, I'd be shocked if he doesn't try to win back his seat in 2015.

Navdeep Bains: Another young star who lost his seat last May. Bains could count on widespread support from the Sikh community if he ran.

Martha Hall Findlay: Rev up the engine on the big red bus! The darling of the 2006 leadership race would enter this contest with a higher profile and would be treated as a "top tier" candidate by the media out of the gate.

Siobhan Coady: Any tour of "defeated rising stars" should include Coady, a well liked MP who can ask tough questions with emotion and confidence.

Geoff Regan: As a Liberal MP who has been in Ottawa for a decade and is still young enough to run, Regan should not be overlooked. Jane Taber recently floated his name as a possible candidate.

Jane Stewart: She's an accomplished women, with an impressive resume inside and outside of politics. As the "Draft Jane" team says, "everybody loves Jane". She's said she isn't running, but so has everyone else - we may yet get a "See Jane Run" headline or two.

Sheila Copps: She ran her presidential campaign as if she was running for leader. Even though she didn't win, she raised her profile and put a team together - two things that could be useful should she decide to try for the top prize again.

Jean-Marc Fournier: It wouldn't surprise me to see a provincial politician jump into this race, a la Kennedy in 2006, and Fournier is the name I've heard the most rumours about. Quebec's Justice Minister worked in Michael Ignatieff's office so he has federal connections to complement his 15 years of experience in provincial politics. Of course, with a resume like this, he might have his sights set on Jean Charest's job.

Borys Wrzesnewskyj: The Epoch Times, the must-read source for all your Liberal leadership gossip, reported that Wrzesnewskyj is planning a leadership bid, much to the horror of journalists everywhere who will now need to learn how to spell and pronounce his name.

Robert Ghiz: The 37 year old Premier of PEI has said "never say no" but wants to spend time with his two young children.

Belinda Stronach: She made some noise prior to the convention, so I wouldn't rule out a return to politics.

Andrew Coyne: There are Facebook ads and buttons, making this the best funded campaign to date.

Frank McKenna: You all knew this was coming as the punch line. Yet two commenters on David Akin's blog and one delegate I talked to in Ottawa suggested McKenna un-ironically. Some rumours will never die...

That's 28 names I've floated over the past two days, and I expect we'll hear a few others before all is said and done. By all means, float some more in the comments section.

Given the mood for change in the Liberal Party, it wouldn't at all surprise me if someone we're not even talking about ends up winning this thing.

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  • Geoff Regan has actually said himself that he may run.

    By Blogger Jordan, at 10:41 a.m.  

  • Kevin Lamoureux should be added. He'll be the candidate from the West. He's a Bob Rae guy, but if Bob's out than Kevin will run 100%. He was running constantly to for the Manitoba Liberals, so he won't sit out a race like this and will use it to build his profile.

    By Anonymous ManitobaGrit, at 10:46 a.m.  

  • Ralph Goodale - yecchhh. We don't need more hyper-partisanship.

    Andrew Coyne would be a phenomenal choice, but is he even a Liberal?

    By Blogger Robert Vollman, at 11:05 a.m.  

  • "Ralph Goodale - yecchhh. We don't need more hyper-partisanship."


    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 11:37 a.m.  

  • When is Dan Arnold going to declare his candidacy for the leadership?

    Pros: he knows what it's like to be surrounded by non-Liberals. Nobody knows who he is.

    Cons: keeps bringing up McKenna


    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 12:56 p.m.  

  • RV - The Coyne thing is pretty much a joke, though I think the organizers behind it are serious. Andrew's cousin Deborah has run for the Grits before, so maybe the mighty Coyne4LPC organization can toss its heft behind her.

    By Blogger calgarygrit, at 2:14 p.m.  

  • Good call on Lamoureux running - I could see him doing a maverick campaign. It will be important to have someone from the West in the race, and if Goodale (or Dosanj, who I should have mentioned) pass, he'd be as good as anyone.

    By Blogger calgarygrit, at 2:15 p.m.  

  • Every party has their hyper-partisan attack dogs, and Ralph Goodale is most certainly ours.

    Whether you agree or disagree with what he's saying, he just can't seem to say anything at all without blasting the other parties. Like many others of all political stripes, he's just incapable of abstaining from partisan jabs.

    The best example would be his Bob Rae endorsement speech back in 2006 when he called Harper's new government "the most rigidly ideological government in Canadian history" and that "This government is also too mean and vindictive, too Republican in its values and they never let the truth stand in the way of taking partisan advantage."

    A little excessive for a leader, no?

    If you want just a random example, sign up for his regular mail-outs. Check out his latest on-line:

    He uses the strongest possible language in every situation, for example when the Tories shut down Parliament during the Olympics, he said they were "beyond arrogant" and "almost despotic", that their justification was "a joke" and that they were in fact "shutting down democracy."

    Perhaps you agree with his characterization, but do you also agree that we need more of this type of language in our political discourse?

    I'm not saying partisan attack dogs are bad - every party has them. It's politics, and maybe you need to have them.

    All I'm saying is that you don't make them the leader. The leader has to be someone who at least appears capable of objective thought.

    Goodale does not. If Harper cured cancer, he'd accuse them of putting doctors out of work.

    Excuse the rant.

    By Blogger Robert Vollman, at 2:45 p.m.  

  • Amanda Lang would be an interesting choice, though I'd hate to put someone with zero political experience in the leader's chair.

    By Anonymous Sean, at 2:59 p.m.  

  • I could back Lang, but I'm big on Wrzesnewskyj.
    Wr Zes New Sky J
    Pronounced like:
    That's a bit off, not exact, but pretty darn close to Canadian ears.

    By Blogger Unknown, at 3:16 p.m.  

  • No chance on Nenshi. Quite possibly the worst Mayor in the history of Calgary.

    Either he doesn't run for re-election or he gets crushed at the polls.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 6:09 p.m.  

  • Anon 6:09 - I will put any sum of money betting on Nenshi's re-elect.

    Also, draft Lang!

    By Anonymous Glen, at 6:26 p.m.  

  • Why's Nenshi so bad?

    I also think draft Lang is quite interesting.

    By Blogger Jordan, at 6:56 p.m.  

  • Amanda Lang is awesome and I would love it if she ran. She's smart, young, has a sense of humour and is generally likeable. Plus she puts Kevin O'Leary in his place with ease and really whats the diff between his and Harpers poltics?... Imagine if she didn't have to hold back like CBC obviosuly makes her.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 8:03 p.m.  

  • Dan
    Get the person talking Amanda Lang to contact me. When I think of who we need to lead I always think a Female from the west would be ideal and Danielle Smith is already taken.
    Anonymous 6:09 not sure what you mean, I am not a Nenshi fan by any means but worst mayor ever at only a year in is stupid and not winning reelection?!?!? He has that locked up right now. Just because Calgarians like how he makes them feel, they can be all smug with Torontonians. That alone will sew up his reelection.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 8:33 p.m.  

  • Some other names to throw out:

    The Rest of Chretien's Front Bench: Allan Rock, John Manley, Anne McClellan and The Codfather are still all out there. Tobin's the youngest at age 57, Rock the oldest at 64. McClellan would be an interesting pick as the first federal Liberal leader from Alberta in....forever?

    Pablo Rodriguez: Another of the younger faces who lost like Kennedy and Coady. Probably the youngest Quebec face they can find not named Trudeau.

    Glen Murray: Along the lines of Fournier/Kennedy, Murray has served as mayor of Winnipeg and is now serving in Dalton McGuinty's ministry.

    By Anonymous An Interested American, at 11:52 p.m.  

  • Good suggestions AA. I can't see any of the Chretien front bench returning, but Murray and Pablo have at least considered it before.

    It wouldn't surprise me to see someone jump from McGuinty's cabinet (a la Kennedy in '06), and Murray makes as much sense as anyone.

    By Blogger calgarygrit, at 9:38 a.m.  

  • I think Eric Hoskins would be a strong candidate from McGuinty's cabinet. Carolyn Bennett likely won't seek re-election, due to her age, so he could succeed her as MP.

    Hoskin's predecessor Michael Bryant would also be very interesting, don't know how much his accident would affect his chances of a political comeback.

    By Blogger Jordan, at 1:53 p.m.  

  • Who are the high profile members of McGuinty's cabinet who could make the jump to federal politics?

    By Blogger Jordan, at 2:48 p.m.  

  • Dan,

    Yeah, get Lang's people to call my people. My PM-making machine just got a huge overhaul and is ready to kick some right-wingnut but.

    If Lang's people have people, they can also contact my people. In fact, tell Lang's people that when they are in public, they should wink three times and my people will do the same. That way, Lang's people will know my people and visa versa.

    This is major.

    By Anonymous PeopleArePeople, at 12:48 p.m.  

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