Monday, October 24, 2011

Revirement

While the latest round of elections suggest Canadians are craving stability, the situation is starkly different in Quebec. Consider the latest poll from Leger:

Legault 36%
Lib 22%
PQ 18%
ADQ 9%
QS 7%
Green 5%
Other 3%

"Legault" refers to "a new party led by Francois Legault", the former PQ Cabinet Minister who heads the Coalition pour l'avenir du Quebec, a group hoping to move beyond the sovereignty debate with a bold "pro-future" agenda. The coalition won't declare their electoral intentions until November 14th, yet they sit in first place, with nearly as much support as the Liberals and PQ combined.

It seems far flung to image a party being able to form, organize itself, and take power in a year or two but after seeing the orange wave sweep across Quebec in a matter of weeks this spring, it would be rash to count out Legault. Quebecers are clearly not satisfied with their options, and haven't hesitated to mark "none of the above" in the past.

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4 Comments:

  • Barring a huge misstep or two, I certainly can see Legault as Premier, and soon-ish. Very interesting to watch....

    By Anonymous Jacques Beau Verte, at 10:04 a.m.  

  • Question: Is this the Quebec Solidaire movement itself?

    By Blogger Mike B., at 11:24 a.m.  

  • @hatrock: No, no, this is the other side. The Quebec Lucide side.

    Centre-right.

    QS was a response to that from the left. (Mind you, it also is the descendant of the old NDP Quebec wing...)

    By Blogger Ben (The Tiger on Politics), at 11:55 p.m.  

  • There's a Huge difference between polling well and delivering results riding by riding across the province.

    Without information on how that 36% breaks down regionally, there is absolutely no credibility to any suggestion that Legault is looking at displacing any existing Parties.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 11:52 a.m.  

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