Monday, August 29, 2011

Where do they go from here?

After a week of tributes and mourning, the talk in Ottawa is sure to turn to "what now" this week, as the NDP begins the process of replacing Jack Layton.

Of course, some did not wait that long. Anonymous NDP insiders let it be known that Brian Topp was the "front runner" to replace Layton the day after he died, showing us that anonymous NDP insiders are as reliable and as politically astute as anonymous Liberal insiders. Seriously, it boggles my mind how anyone could think a move like that would help Topp.

Since leadership speculation is now in full swing, here's my run-down of the prospective field. Keep in mind, Layton was elected straight from City Council, so the NDP may very well opt for an outsider again.


Brian Topp

PROS: Played a key role in Layton's revival of the NDP. Very punable name (“Topp spins scandal”, “Topp on top”, “Topp falls to bottom of pack”...the possibilities are limitless for headline writers).

CONS: No elected experience.



Thomas Mulcair

PROS: The party's most respected MP in Quebec. Like Layton and most good socialists, has facial hair.

CONS: Unlike Layton, has never smiled in his life.



Gary Doer

PROS: Accomplished, moderate, well spoken

CONS: Has said he won't run. I believe we have found the NDP's very own Frank McKenna.



Bill Blaikie

PROS: Meets facial hair requirement. Well respected. Experienced.

CONS: Retired.



Paul Dewar

PROS: Comes from deep NDP roots, and has shown himself to be a strong performer in Ottawa.

CONS: Less name recognition than Brian Topp.



Anne McGrath

PROS: Close to Jack Layton. Comes across well on TV.

CONS: Fun fact about Anne McGrath - she once ran for the Communist Party. Didn't know that? Well, you will after the 200th CPC attack ad on the subject airs.



Megan Leslie

PROS: Young, articulate, and seen as a rising star on Parliament Hill

CONS: Fun fact about Megan Leslie - there are no fun facts about Megan Leslie.



Ruth-Ellen Brosseau

PROS: Name recognition, and media enjoy writing about her. Given her complete lack of interest in politics before being elected, odds are she has never been a member of the Bloc Quebecois. Luckiest person on the face of the earth.

CONS: Weak french.



Rocco Rossi

PROS: Described by Rocco Rossi as a star candidate. Will be looking for work come October. A Forum poll shows him as the frontrunner in the NDP race.

CONS: Hasn’t switched to the NDP – yet.



For a more serious look from someone inside the NDP, Greg Fingas has the run-down on 20 possible candidates.

Labels: , , , , , , , ,

16 Comments:

  • Very amusing. Anne McGrath would never run and I don't believe Doer would either. But I think you should have included Oliva CHow as a possibility.

    By Blogger kirbycairo, at 9:55 AM  

  • Oh, yeah, and what about Peggy Nash?

    By Blogger kirbycairo, at 9:57 AM  

  • What about Alberta's own Rachel Notley? I think her husband has facial hair.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 10:24 AM  

  • Olivia would be a force, but I think her french might hold her back.

    Other MPs like Peter Julian, Nathan Cullen, Robert Chisholm, and Peggy Nash should also be considered legitimate contenders at this point.

    By Blogger calgarygrit, at 10:34 AM  

  • Also, can anyone out there confirm that the NDP still uses a one-member-one-vote leadership systems (no regional weighting), with 25% of the vote reserved for unions?

    That's the system Jack was elected under, and it certainly changes the dynamic of this contest.

    By Blogger calgarygrit, at 10:35 AM  

  • "can anyone out there confirm that the NDP still uses a one-member-one-vote leadership systems (no regional weighting), with 25% of the vote reserved for unions?"

    That's what I read in the Star last week, so presumably they got it correct, although Gloria Galloway's piece in the Globe omitted the union vote.

    By Blogger jad, at 10:37 AM  

  • Steve Page.

    By Blogger Robert Vollman, at 11:09 AM  

  • I hope Pat Martin runs, for sheer entertainment value.

    By Anonymous Deb, at 12:00 PM  

  • Now that the NDP have replaced the Liberals as the second place choice in New Brunswick, maybe former NB NDP leader Elizabeth Weir will throw her hat into the leadership ring, to at least raise her profile for a run at a ferderal riding next time.

    By Anonymous Nuna D. Above, at 12:18 PM  

  • http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/inside-politics-blog/2011/08/ndp-leadership-watch-about-that-25-percent-of-the-vote-set-aside-for-labour.html

    Kady gives the scoop on the 25% carve-out. Turns out the answer is a sort of "it depends" ....

    By Blogger jad, at 1:21 PM  

  • Not true about Megan Leslie! She was once named "Rookie of the Year"
    http://www2.macleans.ca/2009/05/14/best-rookie-megan-leslie/

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 3:02 PM  

  • I posted this on Greg Fingas' blog as well... I'm surprised not to see Vancouver Mayor Gregor Robertson on this list. A moderate New Democrat from Western Canada with Executive Governance experience at a big city level could carry a lot of weight on the federal stage (I am not sure if he is bilingual though).

    I read on twitter today that his campaign said that he is committed to running for re-election in Vancouver in November, but that doesn't mean he can't be persuaded. Thoughts?

    By Anonymous daveberta, at 5:28 PM  

  • This list is definitely short on candidates from Quebec. I'm not necessarily talking about the NDP caucus either. Lots of people didn't run for the Dippers because they thought the party had no shot. There are also probably a lot of ex-Quebec Liberals (or even Bloc MPs) looking for a political home out there.

    Turmel may yet be able to make herself a political player. Yes, her dalliance with the Bloc is not a crowd-pleaser, but it hasn't lowered NDP poll numbers.

    Then again, candidates with the last name Turmel don't have a good track record in Canadian politics (see John Turmel).

    By Blogger hosertohoosier, at 5:46 PM  

  • You know who should be the leader of the NDP or the Liberals or both - Roy Romanow!

    By Anonymous LT, at 10:04 PM  

  • David Miller has had his name bandied about.

    And anonymous insiders have said that Paul Dewar's French is weak.

    Note that there is no particular reason for the Leader to be selected from among the sitting NDP MPs, as whoever wins the leadership would probably carry the by-election in Layton's former riding.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 2:14 AM  

  • The Québec breakthrough changes everything. If this were pre-Québec breakthrough, Charlie Angus from Ontario would be a top candidate but his French is too weak.

    As an aside, I've read that Ruth-Ellen Brosseau gets mobbed left right and centre at events and gatherings. She's popular! ;)

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 11:07 PM  

Post a Comment

Links to this post:

Create a Link

<< Home