Sunday, March 04, 2007

SES weighs in

Since SES seems to have become the oracle for all bloggers, it'd be hard to not post their latest numbers:

How Comfortable Would You Be With A Conservative Majority Government?

Comfortable 33.6%
Somewhat comfortable 18.6%
Somewhat uncomfortable 15.0%
Uncomfortable 29.1%
Unsure 3.6%

Westin and others are playing this as a big coup for the Tories and it certainly does show they have some room for growth. Still, here are the numbers from the same question during the Tory peak of last year's election:

The poll, which was conducted for CTV and The Globe and Mail by the Strategic Counsel on Jan. 14 and 15, found that 55 per cent of voters believe electing a Conservative majority government would be a healthy outcome for the country
Again, we seem to be right back to where we were a year ago.

(Hat Tip: Political Staples)



  • This comment has been removed by the author.

    By Blogger Scott Tribe, at 8:44 PM  

  • This comment has been removed by the author.

    By Blogger Scott Tribe, at 8:46 PM  

  • This comment has been removed by the author.

    By Blogger Scott Tribe, at 8:47 PM  

  • Hmmph.. more like Staples probably saw that at my site and copied it.. considering I already posted about that a few days ago

    By Blogger Scott Tribe, at 8:48 PM  

  • Judas Priest, the national numbers have not moved since the last poll taken in August of last year.

    The positive numbers for the Conservatives have actually discreased, although still within the margin of error, in much of the country except Quebec and even the change there is just outside of the margin of error.

    Mr. Weston is truly desperate to find some good news in these results.

    Despite all of the good press that Mr. Harper and the Conservatives have been getting lately they still cannot grow the support for the idea of a Conservative majority.

    By Blogger ottlib, at 9:16 PM  

  • When you add up the comfortable and somewhat comfortable tallies, you find the Tories moved from 42% to 48% in Quebec. Weston seems to look at those numbers in isolation because the other key, Ontario, drops from 53% to 44%. As Ottlib points out, the overall numbers are unchanged, so you can't use these particular numbers to support Weston's "Harper Surging, Dion Fading" headline. Polls aren't just buffets, where you just choose what you like and ignore the unpalatable. SES= a wash.

    By Blogger Steve V, at 10:23 PM  

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