Thursday, October 27, 2011

Redistribution Update

Just what we need - 30 more MPs!

Ontario will get 15 new seats, British Columbia and Alberta six each and Quebec three in the latest and probably final attempt by the Harper government to rejig the House of Commons in favour of the fast-growing provinces.

I took a look at the impact of this last week, by seeing who holds the ridings most likely to split. Updating for the new seat totals announced today gives the following breakdown of the "new" ridings:

CPC 19.8
NDP 7.2
Lib 2.7
Green 0.2
BQ 0.1

Obviously enough, a lot will depend on where the new boundaries are drawn and what the political landscape looks like in four years. What's currently a CPC seat might not be a CPC seat next campaign.

But the bottom line is this - the creation of these new ridings gives Harper a 10-seat cushion over the opposition heading into the next campaign, making the job of dethroning him that much harder.



  • That's assuming they don't do what the Alberta Tories do and gerrymander the riding boundaries to benefit Conservative candidates at the expense of all others.

    By Blogger evilscientist, at 9:30 p.m.  

  • Just what we need - 30 more MPs!

    Never say that they never created any jobs. ;)

    By Blogger sharonapple88, at 9:44 p.m.  

  • Of course they could do something more radical - make an MP's vote weigh more or less depending on the size of his riding.

    But as that wouldn't sit well with tradition, adding new seats is the best we can do towards making the House more representative.

    By Blogger Brian Henry, at 10:44 a.m.  

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