CalgaryGrit: Calgary Grit Election Pool

Friday, March 25, 2011

Calgary Grit Election Pool - 20 Questions

Anyone can predict seat totals or popular vote. That's just the end result. The real excitement in an election is the journey - the campaign itself. With that in mind, I present the third (almost) annual Calgary Grit Potpourri election pool. Twenty questions to determine just how well you can predict the upcoming campaign.

While there is no prize for the winner, this is your chance to be immortalized forever and ever alongside previous winners Saskatchewan Grit and HoserToHoosier. Simply reply to this post with your predictions or e-mail them in to calgarygrit@gmail.com. Or, better yet, print off the questions and start up your own office pool.

1. Will Elizabeth May win her seat?

2. Will the Conservatives sweep Alberta?

3. Will Julian Fantino be re-elected?

4. Thomas Mulcair or Martin Cauchon in Outremont?

5. Which polling company's publicly released final numbers will be closest to the actual results?

6. Over/under on the highest level of support the Conservatives will hit in a national election poll - 42%

7. Will the Liberals ever lead in a national election poll?

8. Which party will run the most vicious attack ad? (as judged by yours truly)

9. Which party will run the "best" ad? (as voted on by Calgary Grit readers)

10. Will the words "abortion", "women's right to choose", or some variant, be used in a TV commercial this campaign?

11. Will any Harper Cabinet Ministers appear in an english-language commercial this campaign?

12. Will Harper's sweater vest make an appearance in a Conservative ad?

13. Conservative vote over/under in Crowfoot - 80% (82% the last 2 elections)

14. Voter turn out over/under - 60% (59% last election)

15. How many seats will the Conservatives win in Newfoundland?

16. Number of independent candidates elected?

17. The Bloc. Will they win more or less seats than last election?

18. Will over half the Liberal seats won come from Ontario? (last election, 38 of their 77 wins came from there)

19. Number of times Stephen Harper uses the word "coalition" in the (first) English language debate?

20. Who will the instant-polls show as having won the first English language debate? (based on an average of all debate polls released in the next 24 hours)

Tie-Breaker: Predict the seat totals for each party

43 Comments:

You forgot another question:

Which war room will let out the first botched PR move that blows up in their party's face? (Think pooping puffins or beer and popcorn.)

By Sean Cummings, at 8:07 a.m.
1 - yes
2 - no
3 - yes
4 - mulcair
5 - nanos
6 - over
7 - no
8 - tories
9 - ndp
10 - no (not by the major 5)
11 - no
12 - yes
13 - over
14 - under
15 - 3
16 - 0
17 - less
18 - no
19 - 24
20 - Harper

cpc - 160
lib - 60
bq - 50
ndp - 40
grn - 1

By Unknown, at 8:19 a.m.
1. No
2. Yes
3. Yes
4. Muclair
5. Angus Reid again
6. 39%-44% CPC
7. No brand is damaged beyond repair. Rot runs too deep and LPOC has not been credible alternative in 5 yrs+. Merger in remaining left-progressives next step.
8. Separatists
9. CPC
10. Yes
11. Yes
12. No
13. 80%-84%
14. 62-65%
15. 2
16. 1 -Andre Arthur
17. Separatists 50
18. 29 ON-Lib
19. 12
20. Lib

==============
CPC 159
Lib 62
NDP 36
SEP 50
OTH 1

http://canadiansense.blogspot.com/2011/03/conservative-majority-end-of-political.html

By CanadianSense, at 8:53 a.m.
1. Yes
2. No
3. No
4. Mulcair
5. Angus
6. under
7. no
8. NDP
9. NDP
10. No
11. No
12. No
13. Under
14. Over
15. 1
16. 2
17. Less
18. No
19. 5
20. Iggy

Tie break:
Libs 113
CPC 122
NDP 25
Bloc 45
Green 1
Ind 2

By MackenzieBowell, at 9:27 a.m.
1) No
2) No
3) Yes
4) Cauchon
5) Nanos
6) Over
7) Yes
8) Tories
9) Tories
10) Yes
11) No
12) Yes
13) Over
14) Under
15) 2
16) 1
17) More
18) Yes
19) 20
20) Lib

=====
CPC 128
Lib 97
NDP 27
BQ 55
Other 1

By Glen, at 9:28 a.m.
1. No.
2. No.
3. No.
4. Martin Cauchon
5. Ekos
6. Over
7. Yes
8. Con
9. Lib
10. Yes
11. Yes.
12. Yes.
13. Under
14. Over
15. 0
16. 1
17. More
18. No
19. 8
20. Duceppe

Tie Breaker # of seats

I'll send it privately.

By Jason Cherniak, at 9:34 a.m.
1. No
2. Yes
3. Yes
4. Mulcair
5. Ekos
6. Under
7. Yes
8. Conservatives
9. Conservatives
10. No
11. No
12. Yes
13. Over
14. Over
15. 1
16. 1
17. Less
18. Yes
19. 7
20. Liberals

CPC: 126
LIB: 108
NDP: 30
BQ: 43
IND: 1

By UWHabs, at 10:01 a.m.
1. Will Elizabeth May win her seat?
No

2. Will the Conservatives sweep Alberta?
No

3. Will Julian Fantino be re-elected?
Yes

4. Thomas Mulcair or Martin Cauchon in Outremont?
Mulcair

5. Which polling company's publicly released final numbers will be closest to the actual results?
Nanos

6. Over/under on the highest level of support the Conservatives will hit in a national election poll - 42%
Over

7. Will the Liberals ever lead in a national election poll?
Yes

8. Which party will run the most vicious attack ad? (as judged by yours truly)
Bloc

9. Which party will run the "best" ad? (as voted on by Calgary Grit readers)
NDP

10. Will the words "abortion", "women's right to choose", or some variant, be used in a TV commercial this campaign?
No

11. Will any Harper Cabinet Ministers appear in an english-language commercial this campaign?
No

12. Will Harper's sweater vest make an appearance in a Conservative ad?
No

13. Conservative vote over/under in Crowfoot - 80% (82% the last 2 elections)
Under

14. Voter turn out over/under - 60% (59% last election)
Under

15. How many seats will the Conservatives win in Newfoundland?
1

16. Number of independent candidates elected?
2

17. The Bloc. Will they win more or less seats than last election?
More

18. Will over half the Liberal seats won come from Ontario? (last election, 38 of their 77 wins came from there)
No

19. Number of times Stephen Harper uses the word "coalition" in the (first) English language debate?
6 (average 1/question)

20. Who will the instant-polls show as having won the first English language debate? (based on an average of all debate polls released in the next 24 hours)
Layton

Tie-Breaker: Predict the seat totals for each party
Con: 135
Lib: 80
NDP: 40
Bloc: 51
Green: 0
Ind: 2

By Ian, at 10:52 a.m.
1 - No
2 - No
3 - Yes
4 - Mulcair
5 - Angus Reid Strategies
6 - Over
7 - No
8 - Tories
9 - NDP
10 - No
11 - No
12 - No
13 - Under
14 - Over
15 - 1
16 - 0
17 - More
18 - Yes
19 - 15
20 - Layton

CPC - 133
Libs - 80
BQ - 53
NDP - 42

By DL, at 11:15 a.m.
1. Yes.

2. Yes.

3. No.

4. Martin Cauchon

5. Nanos.

6. Over.

7. No.

8. CPC of course!

9. NDP

10. No.

11. No way.

12. Yes.

13. Under.

14. Under.

15. 1.

16. 0.

17. More.

18. Yes.

19. 13.

20. Ignatieff.

Tie-Breaker:

Lib: 114
CPC: 120
NDP: 23
BQ: 50
Green: 1

By A.L., at 11:30 a.m.
1. No
2. Yes
3. Yes
4. Cauchon
5. Nanos
6. over
7. No
8. Libs
9. Libs
10. no
11. Yes
12. NO
13. over
14. under
15 3
16 0
17 less
18 yes
19 7
20 Harper

Con 175, Libs 58, bloc 48, NDP 27

By Mr Rectifier, at 1:56 p.m.
1. Will Elizabeth May win her seat? No.
2. Will the Conservatives sweep Alberta? No.
3. Will Julian Fantino be re-elected? Yes.
4. Thomas Mulcair or Martin Cauchon in Outremont? Mulcair.
5. Which polling company's publicly released final numbers will be closest to the actual results? Ipsos.
6. Over/under on the highest level of support the Conservatives will hit in a national election poll - 42% Under.
7. Will the Liberals ever lead in a national election poll? No.
8. Which party will run the most vicious attack ad? (as judged by yours truly) Conservatives, no question.
9. Which party will run the "best" ad? (as voted on by Calgary Grit readers) Green.
10. Will the words "abortion", "women's right to choose", or some variant, be used in a TV commercial this campaign? No.
11. Will any Harper Cabinet Ministers appear in an english-language commercial this campaign? No. [What's a Cabinet Minister?]
12. Will Harper's sweater vest make an appearance in a Conservative ad? Yes. And probably a kitten. Definitely children.
13. Conservative vote over/under in Crowfoot - 80% (82% the last 2 elections) Over.
14. Voter turn out over/under - 60% (59% last election) Under.
15. How many seats will the Conservatives win in Newfoundland? One.
16. Number of independent candidates elected? None.
17. The Bloc. Will they win more or less seats than last election? Less.
18. Will over half the Liberal seats won come from Ontario? (last election, 38 of their 77 wins came from there) No.
19. Number of times Stephen Harper uses the word "coalition" in the (first) English language debate? Fifteen.
20. Who will the instant-polls show as having won the first English language debate? (based on an average of all debate polls released in the next 24 hours) Jack Layton.
Tie-Breaker: Predict the seat totals for each party. Con: 150 Lib: 85 NDP: 27 Bloc: 46 Green: 0 Ind: 0

By Unknown, at 2:51 p.m.
Assuming you'll publish the results to each question? I've taken your suggestion and are using this to run my own pool, with proper credit!

By Crocker Jarmon, at 3:08 p.m.
1- No
2- No (NDP loses Edm/Stra, but Ford wins Edm/Sher)
3- No
4- Mulcair
5- Nanos
6- Under
7- No
8- The CPofC of course
9- Greens
10- No
11- No
12- No
13- Over
14- Under
15- Two (2)
16- Three (3)
17- More
18- Yes
19- 11 times
20- Ignatieff

Tie Breaker-
CPC=128
LPC=94
NDP=29
BQ=54
Other=3

By Tof KW, at 3:41 p.m.
This poll, that poll, what does it matter.

We have to fight the Harper menace. Michael Ignatieff is the most stupendous leader ever to happen to Canada. We are blessed to have him back in our country after a long, lonely absence.

Courage, mes rouges!! We Liberals were destined to rule Canada and shape its future into the happy paradise that only We Liberals can bring to it.

I have no doubt people will see how much better their lives would be in the care of our leader. Only his wisdom will bring happiness to the masses.

By Canadians for Ignatieff, at 4:16 p.m.
Crocker - Once I close this (Monday or Tuesday), I'll sum up the totals and post on the averages...kind of a "wisdom of the masses" sort of exercise.

By calgarygrit, at 6:40 p.m.
1. No
2. No
3. Yes
4. Cauchon
5. Ekos
6. +3
7. No :(
8. Conservatives
9. NDP
10. No
11. No
12. Yes
13. -3%
14. +1%
15. 1
16. 1
17. more
18. No
19. 11
20. Statistical tie

By Anonymous, at 6:59 p.m.
1. No
2. No
3. Yes
4. Cauchon
5. Ekos
6. Under
7. Yes
8. Liberals
9. NDP
10. Yes
11. No
12. No - they don't want that again
13. 82%
14. Over
15. 2
16. 0
17. More
18. Yes (its almost impossible for them not to)
19. 20-30
20. Harper

Tie Breaker -

Cons 130
Libs 95
Bloc 51
NDP 32

By Kyle H., at 7:19 p.m.
1. No.

The rest, I don't know. :)

By Jacques Beau Vert, at 7:53 p.m.
All the comments I scan over contain many references to the three-way split of progressive votes.

Why can't the NDP and LPC and GPC co-operate here? If "60% of the electorate doesn't want Harper", then it's incumbent on progressive Leaders to co-operate and make that happen.

We all saw Lord Of The Rings, we all know how WWII ended. Allies stick together and win, or they splinter and increase their odds of losing.

Kids can figure this stuff out.

I don't "want" an election because there's really no one to vote for. NO leader today inspires me to want them in. If someone could find some way to put aside their differences for what they claim to believe is in the best interests of the Federation, then maybe there'd be a reason to hold my nose and vote for one of these parties in my riding.

Canada is about co-operation and working together. There's Liberal-strong ridings, there's NDP-strong ridings, throw Saanich to May and find 1 or 2 ridings with decent Green support, and sign some truces -- if progressive leadership can't find some, gee I dunno, "common ground in the progressive fight", then they all deserve to lose to "the evil Stephen Harpergovernment bogeyman".

I'll probably vote for the Tory candidate in my riding if the progressives can't ORGANIZE themselves in "the most important election ever about the fundamental question of democracy". Can't organize a victory over someone "60% of folks can't stand"? Then fly a kite and get out of the way.

By Jacques Beau Vert, at 8:15 p.m.
...comments I scan over in election-coverage newspaper articles...

By Jacques Beau Vert, at 8:17 p.m.
Damn it, my seat projection may have been low if its going to keep going like this
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=okrouXVANsM&feature=player_embedded

By mr rectifier, at 11:33 p.m.
Sean Cummings said...
You forgot another question:

Which war room will let out the first botched PR move that blows up in their party's face? (Think pooping puffins or beer and popcorn.)

Actually, that one's my game. Dan, you gave the gaffe-o-meter a pass in your pool this time around, I see.

1. no
2. no
3. no
4. Mulcair
5. Ekos
6. Over, but it won't hold.
7. no
8. Tories
9. Tories
10. no
11. Not a Conservative commercial. A Liberal ad, maybe.
12. yes
13. under
14. over
15. zero
16. one
17. more
18. no
19. sixteen
20. Ignatieff

Tie-break

Con 118
Liberal 97
BQ 54
NDP 39

By Don, at 12:00 a.m.
I propose an additional question: how many days will it take for Ignatieff to actually answer the coalition question? :)

1. No
2. Yes
3. Yes
4. Mulcair
5. Angus Reid
6. Over (it's already happened...)
7. No
8. Conservatives
9. NDP
10. No
11. Yes
12. No
13. Over
14. Over
15. 3
16. 1
17. More
18. No
19. 7
20. Layton

CPC 163
LPC 59
BQ 51
NDP 34
Ind 1
Grn 0

By The Invisible Hand, at 3:10 a.m.
1. Yes
2. Yes
3. Yes
4. Mulclair
5. Nanos
6. Over
7. No
8. Cons
9. Libs
10. No
11. No
12. Not a chance
13. Over
14. Over
15. 2
16. 0
17. Less
18. No
19. 16
20. M.I.

By Brent, at 6:50 a.m.
1. Yes
2. No
3. Yes
4. Mulcair
5. Nanos
6. Under
7. Yes
8. The Tories (duh!)
9. NDP
10. No
11. No, not a national one
12. No, but something equally goody-goody
13. Over
14. Over
15. One
16. One, or zero if Andre Arthur officially joins the Tories
17. Yes
18. Yes
19. Thirteen
20. Layton

CPC: 116
LPC: 100
NDP: 39
BQ: 51
Green: 1
Other: 1

By saphorr, at 5:39 p.m.
sorry, for #17 where I said "yes" I meant "more".

By saphorr, at 5:42 p.m.
1 - no
2 - yes
3 - yes
4 - Mulcair
5 - EKOS
6 - over
7 - no
8 - BQ
9 - NDP
10 - no
11 - no
12 - no
13 - over
14 - over
15 - 3
16 - 1
17 - same
18 - yes
19 - 27
20 - Smilin' Jack Layton

By nbpolitico, at 10:33 a.m.
Tie-breaker: Con 163, Lib 65, BQ 50, NDP 29, Ind 1

By nbpolitico, at 10:34 a.m.
1. No (she will keep Gary Lunn in office)
2. No (Libs will win a seat in Edmonton)
3. No
4. Cauchon
5. Ekos
6. Under
7. Yes
8. Conservatives
9. Liberal
10. No
11. No
12. No
13. Under
14. Over
15. 2
16. 0, Andre Arthur will lose
17. Same (gain some in Quebec City, lose some in Montreal)
18. Yes
19. 4
20. Ignatieff

The Liberals will win a minority government. Despite an early CPC lead, Ignatieff's personal numbers will improve. I suspect they have some serious dirt on the Tories (separate from the present "scandals", which nobody cares about), while Canada's real estate bubble is primed to pop. Jack Layton will campaign badly, and Green support will fall, further aiding Ignatieff.

Con 104
Liberal 129
BQ 51
NDP 24

By french wedding cat, at 12:45 p.m.
1. No.

2. Yes

3. No

4. Thomas Mulcair

5. Nanos

6. Under 42%

7. No

8. The Tories

9. NDP

10. Yes

11. No

12. Yes

13. Over 80%

14. Over 60%

15. 2

16. 3

17. 1 More

18. Yes

19. 25

20. Iggy

Seat total:

CPC - 133
LPC - 90
BQ - 55
NDP - 30

By Chris, at 5:31 p.m.
1. Yes

2. No – they’ll take 25 ridings (1 Independent will win, 1 LPC, 1 NDP)

3. Yes, barely.

4. Cauchon

5. Harris-Decima

6. Under

7. Yes – 2 weeks before election day

8. CPC

9. LPC

10. Yes

11. Of course. Not.

12. No. He’ll go open-collar denim-like a la Chretien in 93.

13. 85%

14. 64%

15. One - Avalon

16. Three (Guergis, Ford (AB), Arthur)

17. Same number as now.

18. Yes

19. Twenty-five

20. It’ll be a toss-up… Ignatieff will edge Harper out though… just barely.

Tie-Breaker

LPC – 110
CPC – 109
BQ – 52
NDP – 33
GPC - 1
IND: 3

By Unknown, at 11:08 a.m.
1 - Not even close, she'll finish third
2 - Yes
3 - Yes
4 - Mulcair by a wider margin than 2008
5 - Nanos
6 - Over (which they've already done)
7 - No
8 - Marxist-Leninist
9 - Liberals
10 - No

11 - No
12 - No
13 - Under
14 - Under
15 - 2
16 - 0
17 - Push (exact same)
18 - Yes
19 - Science has yet develop a way of counting something that big, but we're working on it
20 - Conservatives

========

CPC - 160
Liberals - 62
BQ - 49
NDP - 37

By Tony Jones!, at 11:16 a.m.
1. No
2. Yes
3. No
4. Mulcair
5. Ipsos
6. 44%
7. No
8. Conservatives
9. NDP
10. Yes
11. No
12. No
13. Under
14. Over
15. 3
16. 0
17. More
18. No
19. 22
20. Ingatieff

Bonus:
159 Conservative
70 Liberal
51 Bloc
38 NDP

By Terry_G, at 12:05 p.m.
1. No

2. Yes

3. Yes

4. Mulcair

5. Nanos

6. Over

7. No

8. Conservatives

9. NDP

10. Yes

11. No

12. No

13. Under

14. Under

15. Three

16. One

17. More

18. Yes

19. 24

20. Jack Layton

160 CPC
65 LPC
50 BQ
33 NDP

By Mike B., at 12:21 p.m.
1 - No, second place
2 - No
3 - Yes
4 - Mulcair
5 - Angus Reid
6 - Over
7 - No
8 - Conservatives
9 - NDP
10 - No
11 - No
12 - No
13 - Over
14 - Under
15 - 2
16 - 1
17 - Less
18 - Yes
19 - 5
20 - Harper

By Wheatsheaf, at 1:01 p.m.
1. no
2. yes
3. yes
4. Cauchon
5. Nanos
6. over
7. no
8. CPC (only because you're judging, I think it will really be the Libs).
9. Libs (again, looking at your audience but this I actually think will be the Dippers).
10. no
11. no
12. no
13. over
14. over
15. 3
16. 1
17. more
18. yes
19. 28
20. Duceppe

CPC 161
Lib 58
BQ 53
NDP 35
Grn 0
Ind 1

By Reid, at 2:44 p.m.
1) no
2) no
3) no
4) Mulcair
5) Nanos
6) over
7) no
8) Conservatives
9) Liberals
10) no
11) no
12) no
13) over
14) over, because I'm an optimist
15) none
16) none
17) more
18) yes
19) no
20) Duceppe

Cons-132
Libs-89
NDP-35
Bloc-52
Greens-0

By A View From The Left, at 6:04 p.m.
1. no

2. no

3. no

4. mulcair

5. nanos

6. under

7. no

8. ndp

9. liberal

10. yes

11. yes

12. yes

13. under

14. under

15. 2

16. 2

17. more

18. no

19. 11

20. ignatieff

Tie-Breaker: Con 121 Lib 102 Bloc 57 NDP 26 Ind 2

By Jeff Townsend, at 9:48 p.m.
1) Yeah, sure, but there will also be another.
2) Nope. They will bleed a couple in Edmonton to the Liberals.
3) Libs will take this one back after Fantino does or says something too moronic for the voters to miss.
4) Mulcair. Sorry, Martin.
5) Harris-Decima.
6) under.
7) yes.
8) CPC
9) NDP
10) you betcha. This election is too important and so is a woman's right to choose.
11) no way - Harper knows they're too ugly.
12) Nope, he is too pure and wonderful to ever wear anything twice.
13) over. The crowfootians are Harper's adopted zombie family.
14) over, but not by more than 5%
15) Fuck-all.
16) nada
17) Quite a few less, like between 10 and 20.
18) Yep.
19) 5,790,409 (all scripted)
20) Gilles Duceppe.
TB:

GPC = 2
BQ = 34
CPC = 90
NDP = 23
Liberal = 159

By Scott in Montreal, at 12:19 a.m.
1 - no
2 - yes
3 - yes
4 - mulcair
5 - nanos
6 - under
7 - no
8 - greens
9 - ndp
10 - no
11 - yes
12 - no
13 - over
14 - over
15 - 2
16 - 1
17 - less
18 - yes
19 - 11
20 - Harper

Tory's - 152
Libs - 70
NDP - 40
Bloc - 45
Ind - 1

By Zuuko, at 1:13 a.m.
My first question is can we change these at a later date as campaigns are so unpredictable that what I would predict now may not be what I predict closer to E-Day.

Anyways here are mine

1. No - Similiar results to Central Nova in 2008

2. Yes - The NDP are strongest amongst younger voters and those attending the U of A and the former tends to have a low voter turnout and the latter will be out of school

3. Yes - Pretty much a 50/50 proposition so flip a coin on this one at least for now. I suspect it will be close either way.

4. Yes - Martin Cauchon has enough appeal he should overtake Mulclair, although with the Liberals' atrocious numbers in Quebec, I am bit hesistant.

5. Nanos - If you took on the last day, he also nailed the last election too. Considering that the day before Was Thanksgiving while there is no stat holiday prior to this election, I suspect most polls will go right up to May 1st

6. Yes - If Ipsos could give them 43% just before the election, I am sure someone else will at some point

7. Yes - I am a bit skeptical of this but whether they pull ahead of not, I suspect there will be at least one poll where they come within 5% of the Tories. After all even John Turner was able to pull ahead of Mulroney at one point in the 1988 election.

8. Conservatives - They have the most money and they have the most to gain from running nasty ads. Usually it is the governing party, although not always who runs the most vicious ad. Besides how will this be decided as it is quite subjective.

9. I am going to guess the NDP, but pretty subjective here anyways.

10. No - The Tories have no reason to bring it up and it will just look desperate if the Liberals bring it up.

11. No - I think Ignatieff is more likely to include someone is his shadow cabinet than Harper is his cabinet considering how much of a one man show it is.

12. No - If it hasn't by this point, why would it.

13. Over - Even in 2004 when the lost, they still got over 80%.

14. Under - I will even make a bolder prediction, this will be the lowest turnout in Canadian history

15, 1 - Although I think the odds are against them in both Avalon and St. John's-Mount Pearl, I think they have a 30-40% chance in each riding and so combined that means a greater than 50% chance of winning one of them although too early to tell which one.

16. 0 - It is rare for Independents to win three times in a row in the case of Andre Arthur and none elsewhere that I could see winning. Helena Guergis will cut the Tory margins in her riding, but not win.

17. More - Although tough tell, they have a floor of 39 seats and ceiling of 59 seats and considering the weakness of the other parties I think they will win 1-3 more seats, most likely from the Tories in Quebec City

18. Yes - This has been the case in every election since 1988, seems unlikely to change now considering how few seats they will probably win in the West and Quebec and the fact Atlantic Canada is only 1/3 as many seats.

19. 15 - Not knowing the format, tough to say, but he will mention it for sure at some point.

20. Stephen Harper - He has won in the past three elections and with this being Ignatieff's first while facing the same candidates this makes the most sense.

Prediction: 145 seats Tories, 76 seats Liberals, 52 Seats Bloc Quebcois and 35 seats NDP. this really an average, anything from 92-188 seats for the Tories and 39-130 seats for the Liberals and the remainder between the other two parties is my guess.

By Miles Lunn, at 9:37 p.m.
Great project CG,

Terry_G is over by ten seats.

Anyone keep tracking of mistakes so your averages are not skewed?

How will you handle those posts that are outside the 308 seats or are beyond any realistic outcome?

ie LPOC, NDP majority?

By CanadianSense, at 11:13 a.m.

Friday, March 25, 2011

Calgary Grit Election Pool - 20 Questions

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Friday, March 25, 2011

Calgary Grit Election Pool - 20 Questions

43 Comments:

About

Previous

About Me