Over/under on the highest level of support the Conservatives will hit in a national election poll - 42% (63% said over)
While Harper's numbers have been consistently below 40% of late, he did sneak over in one early Nanos poll, sparing me from having to rule on whether or not I would accept the COMPAS 45% as a legitimate poll.
Number of times Stephen Harper uses the word "coalition" in the (first) English language debate? (median: 13, mean: 120,653)
By my count, there was only one mention. A View from the Left is the closest at "0", but I'm willing to hand out points to anyone who said 5 or below.
Who will the instant-polls show as having won the first English language debate? (Ignatieff 39%, Layton 24%, Harper 22%, Duceppe 10%)
Despite Layton's tour-de-force, the instant polls all showed Harper as the winner.
Mulcair or Cauchon in Outremont? (73% predicted Mulcair)
A CROP poll from a few weeks back had Mulcair leading by 20 points...and this was before the NDP surge in Quebec. I wouldn't want to count out Martin Cauchon, but in the battle of leadership aspirants, Mulcair is certainly the odds-on favourite at this point.
Which party will run the most vicious attack ad? (73% said the Tories)
Will the words "abortion", "women's right to choose", or some variant, be used in a TV commercial this campaign? (33% said yes)
So far, the answer is a no. A "yes" here would likely give us a new contender on the previous question.
Will any Harper Cabinet Ministers appear in an english-language commercial this campaign? (21% said yes)
Unless Tony Clement was in the crowd on that Summit Series footage, still no Cabinet Ministers as of yet.
Will Harper's sweater vest make an appearance in a Conservative ad? (29% said yes)
Sweater vests are so 2008 - our fragile economic recovery calls for a suit and tie.