Wednesday, April 28, 2010

Wasylycia-Leis, Wasylycia-Leis, Wasylycia-Leis

The biggest tongue twister of a name is leaving Ottawa:

Winnipeg MP Judy Wasylycia-Leis is giving up her seat in Parliament.

Effective May 1, the longtime NDP politician will resign the Winnipeg North seat she has held since 1997.

Wasylycia-Leis, 58, made the announcement Tuesday in Ottawa.

There has been speculation she intends to run for mayor of Winnipeg in the civic election this fall. However, a decision has yet to be made, she told CBC News earlier Tuesday.


Wasylycia-Leis won her seat in a walk last election, against a rather lackluster opposition:

NDP 62.2% (spent 56k)
CPC 22.4% (spent 6k)
Lib 9.2% (spent 14k)
Green 4.8% (spent 491$)

So, I wouldn't expect this seat to flip anytime soon (Pundits Guide gives the rundown on a possible by election). However, this riding may just be the perfect case study in what ails the Liberals in Western Canada. The seat was painted Liberal red in 1988 and 1993 - but watch how the Grits have fallen since then:

1993: 22,180 votes
1997: 6,755 votes
2000: 7,801 votes
2004: 9,491 votes
2006: 5,752 votes
2008: 2,075 votes

Yes, I know the boundaries have been redrawn and the "flood election" washed away thousands of Liberal votes in Winnipeg. But there's really no excuse for the Liberals to be getting less than a quarter of the support now as they got during the first Adscam election.

I'm not a wild eyed dreamer who expects the party to win in Crowfoot or Prince Albert anytime soon. But if we want to regain power and to ever have a chance at another majority government, this party needs to win seats in places like Winnipeg, Regina, Edmonton, and Vancouver.

Which means they need to at least be competitive in a riding like Winnipeg North.

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8 Comments:

  • I think the member for Etobicoke Centre would qualify in the tongue twister category. Wrzesnewskyj is not exactly Smith.

    By Blogger Aaron Ginsberg, at 10:15 AM  

  • Kevin Lamoureux the joke of an MLA (one of two Liberal members) whose provincial riding falls in this riding is running. He'll need to rely on his popularity within the Filipino and Sikh community.

    His website is amazing
    www.4kevin.ca

    By Anonymous kjm, at 10:45 AM  

  • Lamoureux should put the Liberals back on the map in this riding. He's a great constituency politician, particularly for immigrant communities. An upset may even be possible.

    By Anonymous mapes, at 10:59 AM  

  • Lamoureux bullying the already nominated candidate out of the race has damaged him with the Filipino community.

    Many Winnipeg Liberals will gladly sit this race out and watch Kevin get what he deserves.

    Many of us remember him wrecking the Manitoba Liberal party with his sad and petty infighting with former leader Ginny Hassifield.

    Too bad the Liberals can't find someone better than Kevin to try to win this seat.

    Kevin Chief is the type of rising star we should be grabbing, not a Dipper party with no hope of ever forming government.

    By Anonymous Griter, at 1:39 PM  

  • Maybe the Liberals could ask Elizabeth May to run for them once again.

    By Blogger Paul, at 3:24 PM  

  • I didn't mind her because she helped keep some of the anti-Israeli ideas within the NDP in check.

    I was never a fan of her effort to make women's hygiene products tax-free, because it seems ironically sexist not to eliminate taxes on men's hygiene products too.

    I guess my main criticism of her was that she was at times overly partisan and overly political, but that hardly makes her unique.

    By Blogger Robert Vollman, at 10:54 AM  

  • What hygiene products do men buy? I've never had to purchases tampons for myself cause I'm a guy.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 2:24 PM  

  • The chap is absolutely just, and there is no question.

    By Anonymous www.tarragona-3d.com, at 4:39 PM  

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