Friday, January 29, 2010

January Poll Soup

I neglected my monthly polling updates a bit during the end of 2009 - and can you blame me, given how bleak they looked? But, poll soup has returned, with the January 2010 numbers.

I could offer up some analysis but these numbers speak for themselves - it's fairly evident what effect prorogation has had on Harper's polling numbers.

Ekos (Jan 20-26, n = 2,823 auto dialed)
CPC 31.1%
Lib 31.6%
NDP 14.6%
BQ 9.1%
Green 11.0%

Angus Reid (Jan 25-26, n = 1,005 online)
CPC 33%
Lib 29%
NDP 19%
BQ 10%
Green 7%

Decima (Jan 21-24, n = 1,000 phone)
CPC 32%
Lib 31%
NDP 15%
BQ 10%
Green 10%

Ipsos Reid (Jan 19-21, n = 1,000 phone)
CPC 34%
Lib 31%
NDP 17%
BQ 9%
Green 8%

Strategic Counsel (Jan 5-8, n = 2,168 online/phone)
CPC 31%
Lib 30%
NDP 18%
BQ 9%
Green 10%


CPC 32.2%
Lib 30.5%
NDP 16.7%
BQ 9.4%
Green 9.2%



  • Predictable!

    After all, the Conservatives are all sbout selfishness, negativity and arrogance.

    By Blogger JimTan, at 12:00 p.m.  

  • Good.....bring on an election

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 4:58 p.m.  

  • Did you read about the CROP poll that showed the NDP coming on strong in Quebec?

    By Blogger nuna d. above, at 5:12 p.m.  

  • Yes, you forgot the CROP poll. First time Jack Layton has lead (by more than 1%) in the 'best PM' category in that province.

    By Blogger Lou Arab, at 7:04 p.m.  

  • liberal ceiling, meet conservative floor.

    unrelated, i think gerard kennedy has the right idea about raising consumption taxes to get back to surplus. i'd tweak it a bit though and return surpluses through income tax reductions or increases in tax exemptions. either way, the smart strategy is to shift the burden of taxation from income to consumption.

    if the liberals can do that AND resist the temptation to produce a whole slew of new programs and their attendant expenses, they'd get my vote on this issue alone.

    By Anonymous travii, at 9:35 p.m.  

  • woops, meant to tip my hat to chuckercanuck for the "ceiling/floor" line.

    By Anonymous travii, at 9:38 p.m.  

  • I do not believe online polling is even close to the right figure. I have a lot of family members that do not own PC but would definitly vote on election day. The elderly ones would vote Liberal and the younger who knows but they do not do online polls either so those figures mean absolutely nothing.

    By Blogger marie, at 1:10 a.m.  

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