Monday, May 01, 2006

Monday Morning Round Up

1. From this week's Hill Times comes the annual threat that the House could sit into July, and whispers of a Draft McKenna movement.

2. Cerberus is hard at work tracking Liberal blogger endorsements. Still no one for Joe Volpe yet, but the race is still young.

3. Tomorrow is budget day! However will I sleep tonight...

4. James Bow has a good article up on his site about Canada's shifting demographics.

5. Blue Blogging Soapbox has taken to reviewing the Liberal Leadership websites.

6. Time has an eclectic list of 100 People Who Shape Our World.

7. Wikipedia has updated their endorsement page for the Liberal Leadership Race. Least surprising endorsement? Frank Mahovlich has backed Ken Dryden.

8. Flash Point Canada has set up the preferential ballot again, with all ten candidates on it. It's completely unscientific, but kinda fun.


  • One of Franks McKenna's siblings recently told me that McKenna will be seeking the Liberal leadership in four years. No one is really expecting the Liberals to win the next election.The TDH Strategies blog says that one of the current leadership candidates has a plan to win power two elections from now.
    Whoever wins the race in Dec.will be a caretaker for the party for a while.

    By Blogger nuna d. above, at 2:41 PM  

  • The preferential ballot is great fun.

    When I checked it it had Volpe bumping Iggy on a tie vote (?) setting up a landslide for Kennedy.

    When I added a vote for Iggy... Kennedy lost to Iggy just like he did to McGuinty.

    Where's David Orchard when ya' need him?

    By Blogger anonymous, at 3:42 PM  

  • That pref ballot sit has a lot of late round Bennett support to go with that late round Volpe support. Once Hedy throws her hat in the ring, you've got the makings of the best delegated convention since McKay-Orchard.

    Wait till Orchard wins all of the low membership ridings.

    By Blogger anonymous, at 3:48 PM  

  • Someones hard at work stuffing ballots with Volpe ahead of Iggy.

    GK! GK! GK!

    By Blogger anonymous, at 3:51 PM  

  • ...And the Iggy camp stuff in a few to pull into a final round win again!

    MI! MI! MI!

    By Blogger anonymous, at 3:54 PM  

  • Hedy will announce on Thursday.

    By Blogger Darrell, at 4:03 PM  

  • Of course the pref ballot is a lark, but the message being sent by the posters is that resistance to Iggy is deep but that skepticism about Kennedy hype is bigger.

    By Blogger anonymous, at 4:06 PM  

  • nuna,

    The LPC stands a GOOD chance of winning the next election. Any candidates who think otherwise are fools.

    By Blogger Kyle Carruthers, at 4:12 PM  

  • Volpe and GK in the last round.... Well Kennedy it is.

    I love unscientific polls.

    CG! You have dropped anons? Shame. I'll never hear anything about how Volpe is cleaning up anymore.

    By Blogger ┬«oby, at 7:31 PM  

  • The preferential ballot site is like a tug of war...

    Right now it has 2 outcomes.

    Kennedy over Volpe by a smaller margin


    Iggy over Kennedy by a larger margin

    A little while ago the ballot needed a few Dryden votes to eliminate Iggy and voila suddenly Dryden knocks off Iggy, Volpe knocks off Dryden, Kennedy squeaks past Volpe.

    Vastly amusing.

    By Blogger anonymous, at 7:46 PM  

  • I see Kennedy has a lot of initial support. But can't seemed to get many new votes after the first ballot.

    By Blogger C. Steamer, at 8:01 PM  

  • Steamer,

    I think it says less about real support than it does about reaction to hype.

    It appears there are many ballots there that literally put Kennedy last and Iggy 2nd last.

    This probably reflects the earlier hype around Iggy and recent hype around Kennedy.

    By Blogger anonymous, at 10:29 PM  

  • The ABK and ABI balloting is now strong enough that whoever is ahead of Iggy is getting enough to pass Kennedy... currently Dryden.

    By Blogger anonymous, at 10:32 PM  

  • If you're looking for Volpe endorsements, head on over to the Blogging Tories. Find a whole bunch there ;)

    By Blogger McGuire, at 5:02 PM  

  • "The LPC stands a GOOD chance of winning the next election."

    I disagree. Instead of hi-jacking this thread, I wrote about it in my blog.

    By Blogger nuna d. above, at 5:38 PM  

  • I read it, Nuna. It's a mixture of wish fulfillment (no new seats in Vancouver, where Liberals still hold sway) and sheer nonsense (being critical of US policy makes you "intellectually bankrupt"? News to most intellectuals.)

    The LPC stands a good chance for several reasons:

    1)sponsorship is over as an issue. Martin's crew is out, and the new guy is unlikely to be overly tainted by it. The Grits were punished, and will be playing for a "second chance" and "fresh start", both of which are nice fat narratives for the media to glom on to.

    2) The media's love affair with Harper is over. He's alienating them, and while that may not affect the polls now, it will affect the coverage later.

    3)Harper's cabinet. They're muzzled for a reason: because when they do speak (with the exception of, say, Chuck) they tend to stick their foot in at the same time. The muzzling won't last for long.

    4)Iran. Canadians are not going to want to be involved, except for the pro-American conservatives that Harper can't afford to alienate. If he goes with Bush, Quebec is done with Harper. If he doesn't, he can say goodbye to a lot of base support.

    5)The "other" priorities. Harper's been careful to follow his five priorities, but when he ventures outside of them, the results haven't been pretty: he's going to get hammered on the environmental file, and his ham-handed appointment of a former lobbyist to defense is not only causing a civil war at DND, but just plain looks bad. It's not going to get better, either.

    By Blogger Demosthenes, at 1:54 AM  

  • By Blogger chenlina, at 8:05 PM  

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