Monday, December 12, 2005

Week in Review 2

Two weeks down. The Liberals are up in the polls, but there are a lot of storm clouds brewing on the horizon for them. I still think the election is a 50/50 proposition. Here's my week 2 recap:


Weekly Winner: Bernard Lord. This was a tough one since no one came out of the week looking great. But Bernie has been the most effective at knocking Paul's Quebec strategy, and with Harper still down in the polls, Lord may very well be rising in the near future.


Weekly Loser: I had no idea who to pick for this one when I got up this morning. But Scott Reid, you made my day. Reid may feel that "Alberta can blow me", and while I certainly wouldn't go that far, this Albertan is very pleased to give him the "weekly loser" award.


The Polls: Here are the averages from the latest SES, Leger, Ipsos-Reid, and Strategic Counsel poll numbers, with predicted seats that translates to, in brackets:

Liberals 37% (133)
Conservatives 29.25% (99)
NDP 15.5% (19)
BQ 13% (56)

Look Familiar?


Blog of the Week: MK. Braaten has showed how bloggers can dig deep and potentially make a difference. He's been all over the Income Trust story.


Scott Feschuck Line of the Week:
6:56 AM - I didn't actually get a chance to watch Two and a Half Men last night, but darned if that's going to stop me from winning a vote by describing it:

The episode began with Charlie Sheen and that other guy, the one who didn't work between Pretty in Pink and the year 2002, proving just how wacky a wacky odd couple they are by having profoundly conflicting views about a variety of matters. Then events conspired to place Charlie Sheen in a "situation." Mayhem and canned laughter ensued. Charlie ultimately triumphed over his "situation" by learning a valuable life lesson and making anywhere from three to seven sly references to his own real-life promiscuous and badboy ways. And then everyone died a little inside.


Quote of the Week: Rob Anders. OK, it's not a quote per sey but his "homosexual sex marriage" line is the catch phrase of the campaign. I think this one has "comfy welcome mat with lots of fur" and "temporary ad hoc rainbow coalition" potential.


Old Man Winter: Jack Layton becomes the first victim of cold weather on Friday, when his plane got delayed.



Liberals Week in Review: Grade B
The Liberals were flying high in the polls this week. Maybe that's why they haven't gone negative on Stephen Harper yet, preferring to go negative against George W. Bush. I have my doubts that the attacks on Bush will do Martin much good because they've only served to highlight how pathetic Canada's Kyoto plan is. Martin actually came out with some policy that got people talking about daycare and gun control rather than tax cuts, which certainly is where he wants the discussion to be.


Conservatives Week in Review: Grade B
Well, it appears every imaginable special interest group has gotten a tax cut offered to them. But they don't appear to be biting, as Tory support continues to be stagnant. That said, Harper has looked comfortable and he's speaking well, which is certainly good news for the CPC with both them and the Liberals trying to make the campaign about Harper. The debates will likely be more important for Harper than any other leader.


NDP Week in Review: Grade C+
Second verse, same as the first. Like in week one, Buzz Hargrove was a pain in the ass, and good NDP policy continued to get completely ignored. In fact, the only policy of theirs that got serious media pay was the "Belinda Bill" against switching parties. It's a shame, because Layton has put forward some interesting policy proposals that deserves debate. On the positive side is their new commercial everyone is raving about and some fun they've had on their website. If the NDP can continue to go negative in a humorous way the rest of the campaign, they'll be in very good shape.


BQ Week in Review: Grade C
Gilles Duceppe was the star of last year's election campaign, so I've really been surprised by his performance so far. This week started with his "make the Liberals disappear" comments which were followed up throughout the week with a series of somewhat arrogant remarks and his chastising of a Bloc candidate who refused to talk about sovereignty.



Four Things to Watch for this Week:

1. The debates on Thursday and Friday will be key. We've had a lot of policy discussion and this will be a chance for the party leaders to explain it to a larger audience.

2. Income Trusts: The story has been flying through the blogs this weekend and it will be very interesting to see if the mainstream media picks up on it.

3. Daycare: The NDP will be revealing their daycare plan this week and, with Scott Reid's comments today, expect the topic to stay in the news.

4. Conservative Commercials: I'd expect the Tories to launch a new group of commercials this week. And after their first ones were panned across the board, they better be good.

16 Comments:

  • You have to think that if Harper tanks the first two debates, the knives may come out for him...who knows? Maybe a "draft Lord" movement will start mid-campaign and the Cons will end the election with a different leader than they started it with (a la what Chretien supporters tried doing in the 1988 election)...

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 1:58 a.m.  

  • This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

    By Blogger Tony Jones!, at 2:39 a.m.  

  • I don't know why this mistake encourage me to post a comment. But in your Rob Anders, Quote of the Week section you have in Italics per sey, when the correct Latin form is per se (which translates to "by itself"). It was probably the italics that magnified this mistake by like a million times and it jumped out at me like Tony Abbott on a Liberal MLA. I don't know if this is just a typo, if not, hey you learn something new everyday.

    By Blogger Tony Jones!, at 2:41 a.m.  

  • "homosexual sex marriage"

    Is he against sex in a homosexual marriage or envious? Does he agree with homosexual marriages as long as there is no sex? Maybe, and I have to say I'm completely confused, but maybe he's saying sex in marriage is bad, very bad--please close your eyes.

    Maybe it's a simple fact that CPC's are illiterate. Have you seen Monte Solberg's blog: "Its (sic) wonderful being me because I'm on TV and your (sic) not!"

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 5:11 a.m.  

  • Well, in fairness if you believe the SES polls which I admit to being skeptical of, the CPC is up 6% in the last two days which is hardly stagnant. I'll be interested to see if that trend is simply a correction of its previous failure to gauge conservative support, or part of a larger emerging trend.

    And I'm pretty sure the line of the week at least till the debates is going to be "Parents would just squander 25 dollars a week on popcorn and beer."

    By Blogger Chris, at 5:48 a.m.  

  • Calgary,

    Check out Robert Mclelland's nice little poster.

    What a pig. How can that guy still be on your blogroll.

    First his comments about jews, and now this??

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 8:06 a.m.  

  • JP,

    Ehh... so Monte isn't the best speller out there. It's tough to go after the Grits because none of them actually have blogs.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 9:38 a.m.  

  • Sum ov us Grits have blogs and wer grate spelers.

    TB
    Cerberus

    By Blogger Ted Betts, at 10:12 a.m.  

  • CG,
    I actually think that Scott Reid has helped the Liberals by his beer and popcorn comment.

    It has kept daycare in the news. Despite the fact that the Conservative position is a better policy, the Liberal position probably has more political appeal. (Incidentally, this is the exact opposite of the GST tax cut, where bad policy was meant to trump good politics.)

    Anything that keeps daycare in the news and downplays Gomery is a winner for the LPC. It's smart politics and the CPC is blowing Reid right where he wants it.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 10:32 a.m.  

  • I'd like to suggest a new way of addressing mr. myblahg, following along the lines of the Wall Street Journal's Best of the Web's tag for John Kerry (A haughty, French-looking Democrat who, by the way, served in Vietnam)

    Robert McClelland should always be styled "noted anti-semite Robert McClelland". I'll be using that style from now on for noted anti-semite Robert McClelland.

    Enjoy!

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 11:27 a.m.  

  • Two cents; That's sort of like saying Layton's "Paul Martin is responsible for the deaths of homeless people" or the CPC's "Paul Martin supportes child pornography" were good, because they kept issues alive that favoured their parties.

    Reid's comments are going to hurt.

    By Blogger calgarygrit, at 11:49 a.m.  

  • agree with sierra. lord would have attracted more than harper.

    also, in defence of monte, when you post from the the blackberry, its not easy to use the apostrophe. you have to use a combination of 2 or 3 buttons and those buttons are small. labelling him and all cpcs illiterate is bigoted, jp kitchener, even if they had been honest mistakes.

    grey

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 1:49 p.m.  

  • Lord's been looking like quite the statesman on tv.

    If the Conservatives don't win this time, the leadership will be his if he wants it.

    I think he could swing most of the atlantic provinces his way, along with a few Quebec seats.

    By Blogger Michael Fox, at 1:52 p.m.  

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