Monday, November 07, 2005

Free Advice

Dear Stephen,

Given that Tom Flanagan and your other strategists are prone to telling you things like “maybe we should hold a victory march down central Alberta to wrap up the election”, I thought you could use a little free advice. And here it is:


Don’t wait. Don’t hesitate. None of this wimpy “wait for Jack” nonsense. One of the reasons people have soured on Paul is his “Mr.Dithers” label. Don’t look desperate, but you should stand up November 14th and announce that you cannot support the Liberals in light of the Gomery Report – toss a non-confidence motion out there and force Jack’s hand.

Martin has always had a cut-throat mentality – he forced out a three term PM, cancelled opposition days, enticed MPs across the floor; and no one cared. Chretien and Mulroney always went for the jugular and won five majorities between them. The Liberals forced down Joe Clark over Christmas in 1979 without a leader (admittedly, this probably left them in a better position than the current CPC) and weren’t punished for it. If you want to be the nation’s leader, then lead.

I just need to emphasize that THIS IS YOUR LAST CHANCE. Canadians don’t like you. They don’t want you as Prime Minister. Your only chance is to ride the Adscam wave to a victory and then govern well once in power. Come March, people will have forgotten about this and Goodale will have a budget out with juicy tax cuts.

You have to go now. Yes, you’ll have to release moderate, appealing policies, but you have to make government ethics and waste the theme. The reform package you released on Friday is brilliant. Sheer brilliance. It’s constructive and yet attacks the Liberals on a wide range of ethics issues, beyond Adscam. It’s also something you could get passed if elected, because the NDP and Bloc would support it.

So force an election over Christmas and hammer away at Liberal corruption. Launch vicious attack adds with media clips from various Liberal scandals and let the images talk for themselves. You might not win, but this is your best chance and if you give people four months for forget about Gomery, your political career will be toast.


Calgary Grit

PS: Burn your cowboy outfit


  • And hire Kinsella to run your war room.

    By Blogger KevinG, at 9:46 p.m.  

  • I agree. The time to go is now.

    Let's do this.

    By Blogger Stephen Taylor, at 10:31 p.m.  

  • Why hire Kinsella? Seems to me that he's (a) already got his anti-Martin war room up and running and (b) he's attacking the Liberal Party for the shere love of his hatred for the current Liberals so you don't have to pay him his heft consulting fees.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 11:33 p.m.  

  • We want Joe Clark !

    By Blogger David, at 2:01 a.m.  

  • Holy shit, is this a lib talkin'?

    Y'know, Harper came up with the first reasonable thing I've heard lately – elminiating campaign donations from business and unions.

    How long before Martin et. al. steal that one?

    .ted. is

    By Blogger Teddy, at 2:55 a.m.  

  • I can picture it now... Harper and the CPC 'gang' walking down Stephen Avenue , riding horsess and babling in tongues... At any rate, if only we could be so lucky to get Harper to burn his cowboy outfit.

    By Blogger Keegan, at 8:59 a.m.  

  • I'm with you on this one CG... it's now or never. Now, if you'll excuse me, I have some lawn signs to load into the trunk.

    By Blogger Christian Conservative, at 10:36 a.m.  

  • Election after the new year is preferable than over christmas. therefore the date of dec 8 which is a money bill issue and can be voted down as no confidence will be important, leading to a january election.

    By Blogger Canadian News Reader, at 10:56 a.m.  

  • Election is called, conservatives have a small minority, Martin resigns for a new leader, anyone from Michael Ignatieff to Bob Rae.

    Conservatives have a small minority, backroom ideologues get anxious, forcing a confidence vote where they get slammed down, another election, Liberals win a minority or even a majority, Harper resigns, new conservative leader is chosen.

    This works for me.

    An election is needed to refresh the tired old leadership of the two main parties.

    By Blogger Michael, at 12:01 p.m.  

  • The best option for all of the parties is for the opposition to gang up and defeat the Liberal government's supplementary on December 8th. In so doing, they will allow the opportunity for a Christmas recess and an election campaign to begin in January. Go back in history to Joe Clark's minority situation; his government was defeated on 13 December 1979, and the federal election did not take place until 18 February 1980. Counting back five weeks, the election campaign would not have started until 14 January 1980. The government generally recesses for Christmas in mid-December so the assumption that Canada would be running without a government over the holidays is of little consequence; if an emergency such as a repeat of last year's tsunami were to occur, exceptional circumstances would prevail that would permit the House to convene and deliberate an appropriate response.
    By defeating the December supplemental, all of the opposition parties would be able to avoid being labelled as the ones to "pull the trigger" against the government that necessitated an early election. A campaign that begins in January would have the benefit of the second Gomery Report coming down at the start of February, giving all the parties a mid-campaign boost to their platforms and allowing them to capture the essence of his recommendations and incorporate that into their existing campaign speeches. For the Liberals, they avoid being defeated on the corruption issue, and can point to political opportunism and cowardice on the part of the opposition parties for not living up to their own platitudes. The opposition will lose that component in their campaigns, but they still have their early election and can instead use both Gomery Reports for their benefit while the first one remains on the public's mind. Saving face and sparing the voters a Christmas election should trump that small concern for the opposition parties, while giving the Liberals a small amount of wriggle room and a means to frame the election on their terms. There are positives for all parties involved here, and the relative gains vis-a-vis other confidence issues and election timing are greater for a supplementary non-confidence vote than holding a vote on any of the opposition days.

    By Blogger RGM, at 6:06 p.m.  

  • Harper really can't wait for the Dec 8 supply bill. He can put forward a clear no-confidence motion on corruption on the 15th. Jack will support it or not, either way Harper wins (if the motion fails, then Layton is soft on corruption, in bed with teh theives, blah blah blah). You can be certain that by December 8 those crafty Liberals will find a way to defer their money bill or table it for a vote when the house is empty or some other screwy ploy that will end up with the commentators giggling over how Harper got outsmarted again.

    CG is right, leaders lead and it's time to lead this charge.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 6:07 p.m.  

  • Really effective information, much thanks for the article.

    By Anonymous рестораны в барселоне, at 1:59 p.m.  

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