Monday, February 28, 2005

Follow the Leader

It’s not surprising that Liberal leadership talk has heated up a bit heading into this week’s convention. No one is organizing to take Paul out (not enough MacBeth readers among leadership candidates) as most are willing to look past his disappointing tenure as PM and remember his years of undivided and unquestionable loyalty. Ha ha. No, seriously, I expect he’ll get a fairly good total at the leadership review since:

a) Most people who hate him are sitting on their hands and out of the party
b) Most serious leadership candidates were disgusted with the plotting to take out Chretien and won’t challenge him
c) The party is in an unstable situation with the minority government
d) I doubt they’ll even count the ballots. David Herle’s already picked the number in his mind and that’s what will be announced.

But, despite this, there will no doubt be a few whispers in the hospitality sweets about the “next one”. This week, we saw Peter C. Newman toot Michael Ignatieff’s name which is interesting because that's about a serious a suggestion as Justin Trudeau. We’ve also seen the leadership contenders snipping among themselves over John Manley’s “shocking” claims that *gasp* the best candidate, regardless of language, should be chosen.

For those handicapping the field, these would be the favourites, as I see it, with their Vegas odds in brackets:

John Manley (7-2): The Chretien team likes him and he’s had a wide range of Cabinet portfolios, having done well in almost all of them. OK, OK, so he’s not exactly Mr.Charisma and Paul’s inner circle is still aghast that he would have the nerve to question the Liberal party’s membership rules (Liberal Party of Canada in Alberta slogan: “There are too many Liberal Party members in Alberta!”).

Frank “We’ve already joined missile defense” McKenna (6-1): One blogger dubbed him “our very own Paul Cellucci”. But, hey, a lot of the Martinites like him and he could be the man to deliver those 2 seats in New Brunswick the Liberals are missing.

Martin Cauchon (6-1): Will definitely run. Believes it’s the turn of a francophone. Some delegates might feel it’s time for a candidate who can at least match Gilles Ducceppe’s English skills. His pro-gay marriage and pro-pot time in justice will make him a winner in Quebec.

Scott Brison (8-1): The sleeper pick of the field. I think Canadians will accept an openly gay Prime Minister. But I’m not sure they’d accept and openly Tory one.

Brian Tobin (10-1): Holds the record for most references to cod fish ever in a political memoir.

Joe Volpe (15-1): He’s a conniving little SOB who won’t be afraid to take over ridings, strong-arm the competition and have the mafia “disappear” his rivals. Will do well in the GTA which could make him a king-maker.

Maurizio Bevilacqua (15-1): Maurizio Who? Don’t underestimate this guy.

Ken Dryden (15-1): Paul Wells’ description of this guy as an Ent is all too fitting. If he’d run 5 years sooner and surrounded himself with political advisors, he’d be unstoppable. He’s been deflecting shots from right-wingers from years and who else can bring Habs and Leafs fans together? Besides, it’s almost unbelievable that Canada hasn’t had a hockey player as Prime Minister yet.

Others: Pierre Pettigrew (nice hair, but too incompetent), Dennis Corderre (see Pierre Pettigrew comment, minus the nice hair), Sheila Copps (remember her?), Anne McLellan (could be the token female and token Western candidate), David Emerson...

24 Comments:

  • If there was a leadership race, I would have placed my bet on Dryden. Not because I would think that he would win but because I would want him to.

    By Blogger Socialist Swine, at 3:13 AM  

  • "Pierre Pettigrew (nice hair, but too incompetent), Dennis Corderre (see Pierre Pettigrew comment, minus the nice hair), "

    Hahahah. Way funny.

    I was a Brison supporter in the old PC Party and was fairly impressed with him having met him a couple of times. Despite being openly Tory he's as good as any options you've mentioned on the list above.

    Then again I'm mostly a Tory, so who else on that list would appeal to me?

    RT

    By Blogger Bemused, at 10:00 AM  

  • _I thought David Collenete(sp) was very impressive a few short years ago; he even had the Hollywoodized 'tough old, no-nonsense, political guy' look.

    By Blogger Classic, at 10:35 AM  

  • My God this party needs generational change!
    Dryden, Volpe,even Manley out, out, out!!!
    This party needs young blood. I could not care a fig if it picked a francophone or an anglophone.
    How about Dalton McGuinty, fresh face, young kids in university, blond wife (as opposed to whitehaired wife), some experience at the helm of a provincial party. Course he is largely reviled at present in this province but he is still a winner!

    By Blogger Brant Lib, at 1:26 PM  

  • Wow, candidates even further to the right than Martin. Volpe is my MP, he's a great guy, really nice, but I would rather see a trained monkey as party leader.

    By Blogger Gracchi, at 2:01 PM  

  • I would have to say that John Manley is the best candidate that you have up there. He is the only one with the gravitas to lead this party right now. The rest of the candidates may have their sychophants, but they are not legitimate contenders. They lack the experience, the leadership and the global prescence needed by a Canadian Prime Minister at this time.

    As for Dalton McGuinty, and I love the guy, anyone who can beat the erstwhile Ernie Eves has to be a winner. If he gets a second majority government I would be shocked. And given the strong record of provincial premiers as national leaders, I am all over the guy.

    Nope, I can not see anyone other than Manley from the people you have named, and the fact that that is all you can name speaks of the lack of strength in this cabinet.

    By Blogger iloveLaP, at 2:15 PM  

  • I'm surprised Stephane Dion isn't in this list. He's a Chretienite who has proven his loyalty to the Liberal Party as a whole, and he is quite intelligent. I think he could pull it off. What do you say his chances are, and why?

    By Blogger James Bow, at 3:42 PM  

  • I like Stephane Dion too.. he has Trudeau's intellect.. Trudeau's take no-nonsense approach towards the seperatists, and more or less Trudeau's vision of how a federal Canada should work (not totally, but close)

    THe only thing he doesnt have is Trudeau's charisma.. I am afraid he lacks that.. which is necesaary today in a media-conscious world.

    By Blogger Scott Tribe, at 4:48 PM  

  • I heard Dion give a speech a few years ago on federalism and (relative) centralisation. Smart guy. Eloquent in French. Painful in English.

    By Blogger matt, at 11:40 PM  

  • I really like Dion...I just don't think he's interested in the job and I'm fairly sure he isn't organizing for it.

    He'd be a very good choice if he decided to throw his hat into the ring. I probably should have included him as a long-shot.

    As for McGuinty, maybe if he wins a second majority in Ontario, you could consider him. But like LaP says, provincial premiers have a terrible record in federal politics.

    By Blogger calgarygrit, at 1:40 PM  

  • Stephane Dion good record as a federalist. I think he also has some credentials as a centralist. Former academic drafted by J.C. to run in a bi-election in the early nineties.

    He is a true believer who is not going to shift to some kind of decentralized hydraheaded federalism which is really code for giving the provinces more powers.

    I have seen him give a few speeches and he needs to improve his english but I keep coming back to the fact that he is a true believer in Canada and the federalist system. He has a political belief system and a passion which I really respect.

    He also really took charge of Lapierre in a joint news conference this past election and saved Lapierre from making some inappropriate comments which I thought made Dion look very commanding and knowledgeable.

    If he gets tough with the premiers over implementation of Kyoto he could be seen as a real contender.

    I think we need a new blog entitled "Draft Dion for Leader"

    By Blogger Brant Lib, at 8:17 AM  

  • Disregarding the fact that the idea may be outrageous, after watching Ignatieff's speech he's the man I want leading the Liberal Party.

    By Blogger Justin, at 8:53 PM  

  • What about Ralph Goodale?

    A crediable Western Candidate (of which we need). Fiscal Conservative street cred. One of the best communicators hands-down in Ottawa. Smart guy with decades of experiance. Got a standing ovation at the convention.

    I think the better question is, why not Ralph?

    By Blogger Big R, at 12:18 AM  

  • I'm with Justin. Ignatieff is just the sort of compelling wild-ass idea that could make a real difference. I'm in - ne's got more brains and more charisma than all the rest of them but together (except Dion - who has a fabulous brain but is charisma challenged, even in french).

    By Blogger frank, at 7:19 PM  

  • APRIL UPDATE:

    I'd say the Quebec candidates will be hit hard by Adscam - I can't see any of them winning since they'll innevitably be intertwined in everything.

    There haven't been many McKenna or Tobin rumours lately - seems like the main contenders are: Manley, Brison, Cauchon and Volpe. Ignatief is the wild card in all this.

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  • Six Steps to Success
    Throughout the centuries history tells of men and women with the midas touch, who achieved greatness against what seemed insurmountable odds. To some their successes appeared to be the result of blind luck, to others the reward for hard work, but the truth about the successes of men such as Andrew Carnagie and Henry Ford is much more interesting.

    Success is a state of mind to which all people should aspire. Like many others you can unlock te gate to achievement and the fulfilment of yor personal desires. With the six steps outlined below anyone can arrive at a set destination, with the added advantage of renewed self-confidence and secure in the knowledge that every goal is attainable.
    Step 1. Desire
    The key factor involved in the process of achieving any desire lies in the response of one's mind to the objective. If a complacent attitude is apparent then there will be a lack of enthusiasm leading to failure or only half-success.
    If a goal is to be reached determination is needed to carry set plans through to a successful conclusion. This determination must have enough mental 'weight' behind it to propel you forward onto the road of achievement. This mental state can only be instilled by one thing - desire!
    As can be easily seen, when we look around us, it is this desire-force that has launched mankind on his frenzied zest for ever-new knowledge and has enabled him to push back the boundaries of science to never dreamed of achievement.

    It is this same desire-force that must be used in our business and personal affairs if the success we seek is to materialize. It is not very hard to develop this kind of desire for all you have to do is go after what you really want - its that simple. With this desire you will have all the persistence you need to accomplish your goal. There is a great saying "you never fail until you give up"!
    Take heed of what Napoleon Bonaparte said "What we ardently and constantly desire, we always get".

    Step 2. Goals
    If success is to come your must realise what is expected to materialize. This statement may seem obvious at first but if careful thought is given its meaning takes on deeper significance.
    Many people fail to gain satisfactory results from their endeavours because they did not know what they wanted to accomplish in the first place. Your objective must not be hazy or incomplete. Before you reach your goal you must be able to identify how your life will be different when you achieve it. You must know exactly what it is that you want to achieve. How will your life be better/different? How will you feel? What way will you look? What situations will you find yourself in? Will other people in your life be effected and if so how will they react? You need a clear definite picture in your mind of what the attainment of your goal will mean to you.

    Step 3. Belief
    Belief is the back-up system of desire. It keep the fires of enthusiasm burning and makes us continually strive to get nearer the goal attainment. Faith can truly move mountains; the mountains of fear, inferiority, worry and low self esteem - 'the success killers'!
    Once a goal is firmly fixed in mind and our desire-force is hurtling us toward seemingly insurmountable obstacles, the firm belief that we can gain a favourable outcome can spur us on to victory. When the mind has been manipulated to reflect this state, wonderful physical results can ensue, producing symptoms of success in our lives in every area imaginable.
    Although many can attest to the power of belief and to the wondrous accomplishments that were achieved through nothing else except faith, it still remains that many individuals find it hard to believe that a positive outcome will be forthcoming when they are faced with momentous opposition. Whether the opposition is mental or physical the fact that nothing seems to be going right and everything seems to be wrong is enough for even the strongest of us to 'throw in the towel'. But it is in these very situations that faith can conquer all. Faith in yourself, what you are doing and belief that that your objective will be reached.
    There are some who bemoan "easier said than done". This is exactly the kind of mental attitude that sustains the problems that they are trying to eradicate. If your belief power is not apparent, take hope for it can be acquired.
    Each morning and night recite your intentions from a written list of your goals. Voice your belief in your own abilities. Tell yourself that in due course you will be successful. As you go about your daily affairs reflect as often as possible on your goals and affirm that they are yours now. Fool your mind into believing it and you will see your world reflect it!

    Step 4. Plan
    Having decided upon your goal and being determined to build your faith you need to give your desire-force a 'vehicle' through which it may materialize. This 'vehicle' will take the form of a definite plan of action.
    Do you need to acquire certain skills? Do you need to know certain people or be in certain places to help you achieve your goal? Make a plan that will help you get closer to your end objective. Research your desires and get clear on what you need to do. Then do it!
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    Step 5. Visualization
    Visualization is the art of creating mental movies of your completed goal. This has many beneficial effects upon your consciousness. Without going into the deeper esoteric benefits of using this art let me just say that you are truly designing your life when you use it. It has one other major benefit - it strengthens your desire and persistence because you momentarily experience the thrill of having achieved your goal!
    Just form a mental picture of having achieved your goal. See what you will see. Feel how wonderful it will be. See how it effects everyone around you. Hear people congratulate you. When this state is experienced nothing will stop you in your quest for your objective and thus your belief-power will also be reinforced.

    Step 6. The Subconscious Mind
    It is within the subconscious part of your mind that you hold all th positive and negative beliefs about yourself - your self-image. These beliefs are reflected back to you in the form of attitudes. Therefore it is from the subconscious mind that the thought of failure or success comes.

    Attitudes are just mental programs and so is your self-image. They can easily be changed (yes I said 'easily'). Any attitude or belief can be changed by using the formula outlined in this article - by combining affirmations with visualization. Henry Ford used it, as did Ralph Waldo Emerson and even Arnold Swatzeneger. It is reported in some circles that a similar technique was employed by Bill Gates to build his global empire. Andrew Carnegie used it exactly as described to attain and give away multi-millions even though he was an unschooled manual worker when he started it. Carnegie's legacy can still be seen today when you freely borrow a book from any Carnegie library of which there are thousands.
    If you use these six steps there is nothing you cannot achieve. Luckily we have the advantage of living in the Twentieth Century with all its new technology and innovations such as hypnosis and subliminal programming. Use these steps in conjunction with your favourite personal development system and you are assured success. self hypnosis

    By Blogger hypnosis, at 4:38 AM  

  • Many people know the importance of self confidence and try to boost their own by using many different personal development models. Self confidence to most people is the ability to feel at ease in most situations but low self confidence in many areas may be due to a lack of self esteem. Low self esteem takes a more subtle form that low self confidence. So if you are tired of feeling not good enough, afraid of moving towards your desires and goals, feel that no matter what you do it is just never good enough, then your self esteem could do with a boost.

    Every day we make decisions based on our level of self-esteem. We also exhibit that level of self esteem to those around us through our behaviour. 90% of all communication is non-verbal - it is not what you say but ho you say it that matters! Your body language, tonality and facial gestures can all tell a completely different story to your words. It is our behaviour which influences others and people react to us by reading our non-verbal communications. Have you ever met someone you just didn't like although on the surface they seemed polite and courteous, or you met someone who seemed to speak confidently yet you knew they were really frightened underneath and just displaying bravado?

    Parental and peer influences play a major part in moulding our level of self-esteem when we are children and in our early years of adolescence. The opinions of the people closest to us and how they reacted to us as individuals or part of the group was a dominant factor in the processes involved in forming our self esteem.

    As adults we tend to perpetuate these beliefs about ourselves and in the vast majority of cases they are ridiculously erroneous. It is time to re-evaluate our opinion of ourselves and come to some new conclusions about these old belief patterns.

    Ask yourself some serious question:
    Is your long-held view about yourself accurate? Do we respect the sources from which we derived these beliefs? Most of the negative feedback we bought into as we were growing up actually came from people we have little or no respect for and as adults we would probably laugh their comments away! Yet the damage to your self esteem was done when you were very young and you still carry it with you to this day.

    Is it possible that even those people you respected, who influenced your self-worth, were wrong? Perhaps they had low self esteem also.

    As adults we have the opportunity to reshape our self-esteem. Try to judge accurately the feedback you receive from people you respect. This process will allow you to deepen your understanding of yourself and expand your self-image. It will also show you were you actually need to change things about yourself and were you don't. Many people are striving to better themselves in areas where they are just fine or actually excelling and it is only because they have an inaccurate picture of themselves in their minds due to low self esteem!

    Setting small goals and achieving them will greatly boost your self-esteem. Identify your real weakness and strengths and begin a training program to better your inter-personal or professional skills. This will support you in your future big life goals and boost your self-esteem and self confidence to high levels you didn't existed!

    Learn to recognise what makes you feel good about yourself and do more of it. Everyone has certain things that they do which makes them feel worthwhile but people with low self esteem tend to belittle these feelings or ignore them.

    Take inventory of all the things that you have already accomplished in your life no matter how small they may seem. Recognise that you have made achievements in your life and remember all the positive things that you have done for yourself and others. Take a note of your failures and don't make excuses like "I'm just not good enough" or "I just knew that would happen to me", analyse the situation and prepare yourself better for the next time. If someone else created success, regardless of the obstacles, then you are capable of doing the same! Remember everyone has different strengths and weakness so do not judge your own performance against that of another just use them as inspiration and know that what one human being has achieved so can another!

    Surround yourself with people who respect you and want what is best for you - people who are honest about your strengths and will help you work through your weakness. Give the same level of support to them!

    Avoid people who continually undermine you or make you feel small. These people are just displaying very low self esteem. As your own self esteem grows you will find that you are no longer intimidated by another's self confidence or success and you can actually be joyful for them! Do things you love to do and that make you happy. A truly happy person never has low self esteem they are too busy enjoying life! By getting busy living your life with passion and joy you will not be able to be self-consciousness.

    If you find yourself feeling self-conscious in any situation focus on the fact that others can tell and many of them will be feeling the same. Be honest. People respond to someone better if they openly say "To tell you the truth I'm a bit nervous" rather than displaying bravo or fake confidence that they can see right through. Their reactions to you, will show your mind at a deep level, that there was actually nothing to be frightened of and everything is great. If someone reacts to this negatively they are just displaying low self esteem and very quickly you will find others noticing this! Really listen to people when they talk to you instead of running through all the negative things that could happen in your head or focusing on your lack of confidence. People respond to someone who is truly with them in the moment..

    Breath deeply and slow down. Don't rush to do things.

    Stop the negative talk! 'I'm no good at that' or "I couldn't possibly do that" are affirmations that support your lack of self esteem. Instead say "I have never done that before but I am willing to try" or "how best can I do that?". Which leads us to the last point - the quality of the questions you ask yourself s very important.
    When you ask a question it almost always has a preposition in it. For example, "How did I mess that up?" presumes that something was messed up, a better way of phrasing the question would be "what way can I fix this quickly?", as this presumes you can and will fix it. Or "How am I ever going to reach my goal?" could be rephrased as "what way will lead me to my goal quicker" presumes that you are going to reach your goal! Get the picture? Change the quality of your questions and your results will change!

    Practise these techniques and watch your self esteem rise day by day. subliminal

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