Wednesday, February 23, 2011

So, to summarize 400 articles and columns:

We may, or may not, be going to the polls this spring.

Carry on.

posted by calgarygrit at 9:00 a.m.

5 Comments:

  • Two things can bring down this government - itself, or a VONC from all of the opposition parties. For either to happen, Harper must be convinced he has a strong shot at a majority, or all of the opposition party leaders must view an election as being in their interest. This Spring the stars are not aligned.

    -polls have Harper and Duceppe at levels that would return a similar number of seats as in 2008
    -Ignatieff stands to gain a few, but probably not enough for the Liberals to hang on to a 64 year old leader.
    -Layton stands to lose a number of seats

    Prediction: the two leaders with the most to lose from an election (Layton and Harper) will cut a deal.

    By Blogger french wedding cat, at 10:53 a.m.  

  • From the sound of things, the Liberals and Bloc will vote against the budget, so you're likely on the money.

    The dance is between Harper and Layton. At this point, there's no way to really know how it will turn out.

    By Blogger calgarygrit, at 3:21 p.m.  

  • Layton's bet has to be whether a) in BC he can steal CP seats (not right now), and b) whether in the ROC he can steal LPC steats (no guarantees). No reason for him want an election presently, especially if he thinks a Rae-led LPC would pose a bigger threat to his successor in 3/4 years (and assuming there is presently no coalition-esque burning need to remove Harper for the sake of removing Harper kool-aid being drunk).

    Harper's issue is: am I firmly likely to get a majority (no). So no reason to want an election, but no need either to pull a Paul Martin, capitulate, and risk your base sitting on its hands when hard times come.

    There must be some part of the NDP platform that is not anti-business and falls within federal jurisdiction that the Tories can spend money on, right?

    By Blogger matt, at 5:45 p.m.  

  • For there to be an election, you would need a real game changer. Something like, say, 2 Con Senators being charged by Elections Canada in connection with the in&out scandal...

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 12:31 a.m.  

  • There must be some part of the NDP platform that is not anti-business and falls within federal jurisdiction that the Tories can spend money on, right?

    By Anonymous Buy Viagra Online, at 2:22 p.m.  

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