Monday, October 25, 2010

Ontario Votes Live Blog

11:15 pm: Sorry for the delay in status updates. Us elitists can get sidetracked from important tasks like blogging, when filled with rage (and fine wine).

As for the results...well, Ford ran a good campaign. I'll have more on that tomorrow. For now, I think it's important for progressive Torontonians to keep things in perspective. There's only so much the mayor can do - he won't be ripping up the streetcar tracks any time soon, or cancelling the Toronto marathon.

Plus, this is good news for McGuinty - it gets the "angry protest vote" out of everyone's system and gives McGuinty a possible stalking horse to run against in a year's time. This wasn't a conservative wave sweeping across Ontario - many progressive candidates, including Maurizio Bevilacqua and Jim Watson, won tonight.

While the results aren't shocking - I'd predicted a Ford win - it does leave me a big bafflegabed. I mean, I leave Calgary and now they've got Naheed Nenshi and I'm stuck with Rob Ford. I feel a bit like Eeyore with the conservative rain cloud following me around.

8:10 pm: Ford wins. Well, that was anticlimatic.

8:06 pm: The downside of the scan-trons is that you get results right away. With a third of the polls in, Ford has built up a massive 51% to 31% lead.

7:30 pm: My fellow Toronto elitists have begun arriving...we've already had to open up a second bike rack for overflow parking. The wine is chilling, the hors d'oeuvres are cooking, and the recycling boxes have been placed out for everyone. The fun is about to begin!

7:08 pm: Fun drinking game for tonight. Drink a shot of gravy every time someone talks about "the gravy train". See if you can avoid passing out before they declare a winner.

6:35 pm: My prediction for tonight - Ford 45%, Smitherman 41%, Pantalone 12%. But I'm hoping to be proven wrong.

6:25 pm: Just got back from voting for George Smitherman.

The exciting revelation of the day is that Toronto will be using scan-trons for this election - which means Canadian democracy has finally caught up technologically with most 1994 Grade 6 classrooms. Presumably, this should make for a quick reading of the ballots tonight.

Given how close the polls are, this election is going to be all about turnout. So your litmus test tonight is really this - are the lines longer in Etobicoke or in downtown Toronto? The answer to that question will decide the election. For what it's worth, the lineup at my polling station (downtown) seemed about as long as for the federal election.

I'll be hosting a "Toronto elitists" election night party tonight and will be live blogging all the festivities and snark, so be sure to tune back in here later.

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  • wish i could be there, but had other non election plans already.

    but i am expecting you to make the call first on the TO mayoral race.

    By Blogger icky, at 7:34 p.m.  

  • If Torontonians are elitists, why did this city keep pushing extra money to Alberta for decades?

    I remember the E C Manning and Aberhart complaints that Alberta wasn't getting enough money--even before equalization!

    Alberta has the same sense of "outsider-ness" as the suburbs do in this Toronto election.

    What may happen to TO tonight is the same thing that's been going on in Alberta for decades.

    Fortunately, I believe Toronto is smarter than the present situation and will pull back from the brink and not allow for the kingship a la Ralph Klein.

    Time will tell. We're better than this and we're not elitists.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 7:49 p.m.  

  • I was trying to get a live feed of election coverage online and read that CP24 declared Ford had won before I could find something. As I don't live in TO, I can laugh about this. The drama queens will be lining up to jump off of the CN tower.

    By Blogger nuna d. above, at 8:17 p.m.  

  • Actually people jump off the Bloor Viaduct, or well they used too before they put up barriers (a bit of local info). I'm from Toronto, now living in Ottawa, I called my mother in TO at about 8:30 and told her I was really sorry, and that I wont be moving back anytime soon.

    By Blogger Alex Curren, at 9:27 p.m.  

  • Earlier in the evening it seemed like Ford had an easy >50%, but now it seems the Pantalone + Smitherman total would be greater. It'll be interesting to see what the final sums are.

    By Blogger Unknown, at 9:37 p.m.  

  • Denied access to my Medical Records by Federal Government

    Confidential Lawyer / Judge ???

    Research / Funding Scandal

    Privacy Commissioner of Canada / Jennifer Stoddart


    Medicine Gone Bad


    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 9:56 p.m.  

  • Calgary's got to be looking better and better, Dan.

    By Blogger Don, at 10:18 p.m.  

  • I'm Baaaa-aaack!

    By Anonymous Common Sense Revolution, at 10:37 p.m.  

  • You can repost the map on my blog if you wish!

    By Blogger Unknown, at 11:18 p.m.  

  • I'll add, you can't blame Joey Pants for this one. Even if the Smitherman + Pantalone vote barely exceeds the Ford total, it's only by a handful of votes. This was a resounding victory.

    By Blogger calgarygrit, at 11:27 p.m.  

  • You're f****ing hilarious.

    At least you're honest: we respect you for that. But for crying out loud: if you're going to write a purely biased analysis, declare that that's your goal.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 5:33 a.m.  

  • There's the perception that
    Progressive = Good
    Conservative = Bad

    But that's not always true. Sometimes the progressive candidate is worse - it depends on the individual.

    I'm not saying that's the case here, or in Calgary, I'm just saying that you have to think instead of automatically cheering for the progressive (or conservative) candidate every time.

    By Blogger Robert Vollman, at 11:49 a.m.  

  • And case in point - if you vote for a bad progressive candidate, then voters swing conservative, and vice versa.

    If Ford is as bad as you say, then his term ought to be followed by a huge and entrenched swing back to progressive.

    By Blogger Robert Vollman, at 11:51 a.m.  

  • @Robert Vollman

    What you say about swings is very true. Remember the 1993 federal election when the Conservatives were reduced to 2 seats? Do you remember the Frank McKenna all-Liberal victory in New Brunswick?

    We tend to vote OUT governments rather than vote IN.

    That happened after the 6 years of Mel Lastman as mayor of the megacity.

    I don't believe that Ford has learned the paradox oof leadership:
    the greatest leader must be the most humble of servants. Ford knows how to run a print shop and tell people what to do; that's not possible with a council.

    He's has to learn quickly or be humbled by the fourth estate.

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